What Is ADSK Fair Value?
Autodesk (ADSK) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Autodesk (ADSK) has a composite fair value estimate of $276.62 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $208.98, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 32.4%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$276.62
vs. current price of $208.98(+32.4%)
How Is ADSK Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ADSK is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ADSK Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$401.14
+92.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
ADSK Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$65.50
-68.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$214.32
+2.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $208.98 is 92.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.58B | $3.22B |
| Year 2 | $4.19B | $3.38B |
| Year 3 | $4.90B | $3.56B |
| Year 4 | $5.73B | $3.74B |
| Year 5 | $6.71B | $3.93B |
| Year 6 | $7.85B | $4.13B |
| Year 7 | $9.18B | $4.34B |
| Year 8 | $10.74B | $4.56B |
| Year 9 | $12.57B | $4.80B |
| Year 10 | $14.70B | $5.04B |
| Terminal Value | $171.32B | $58.75B |
What Are ADSK's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$208.98
EPS (TTM)
$6.96
Forward P/E
14.7
Profit Margin
19.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
3.1B
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$15.11
Total Debt
2.7B
What Do Analysts Say About ADSK?
Low
$235.00
Average
$318.30
High
$456.00
Upside
+52.3%
ADSK Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ADSK?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ADSK's estimated fair value is $276.62. The stock is currently trading at $208.98, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is ADSK's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ADSK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ADSK is undervalued. The current price of $208.98 is 32.4% below our estimated fair value of $276.62.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ADSK?
32 analysts cover Autodesk with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $318.30, ranging from $235.00 to $456.00. This implies 52.3% upside from the current price.