What Is AMZN Fair Value?
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of September 15, 2026, Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has a composite fair value estimate of $98.24 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $248.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 60.5%.
Data as of September 15, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$98.24
vs. current price of $248.42(-60.5%)
How Is AMZN Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what AMZN is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
AMZN Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$50.54
-79.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
AMZN Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$121.82
-51.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$128.94
-48.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $248.42 is 79.7% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $61.17B | $54.75B |
| Year 2 | $64.22B | $51.47B |
| Year 3 | $67.43B | $48.38B |
| Year 4 | $70.81B | $45.47B |
| Year 5 | $74.35B | $42.74B |
| Year 6 | $78.06B | $40.17B |
| Year 7 | $81.97B | $37.76B |
| Year 8 | $86.07B | $35.49B |
| Year 9 | $90.37B | $33.36B |
| Year 10 | $94.89B | $31.36B |
| Terminal Value | $1.06T | $349.08B |
What Are AMZN's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$248.42
EPS (TTM)
$12.42
Forward P/E
23.9
Profit Margin
17.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
3.2B
EBITDA
168.9B
Book Value
$51.16
Total Debt
251.6B
What Do Analysts Say About AMZN?
Low
$230.00
Average
$328.17
High
$405.00
Upside
+32.1%
AMZN Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of AMZN?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), AMZN's estimated fair value is $98.24. The stock is currently trading at $248.42, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is AMZN's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is AMZN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, AMZN is overvalued. The current price of $248.42 is 60.5% above our estimated fair value of $98.24.
What do Wall Street analysts say about AMZN?
60 analysts cover Amazon.com Inc. with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $328.17, ranging from $230.00 to $405.00. This implies 32.1% upside from the current price.