What Is NVDA Fair Value?
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has a composite fair value estimate of $168.35 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $204.64, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 17.7%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$168.35
vs. current price of $204.64(-17.7%)
How Is NVDA Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NVDA is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NVDA Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$94.55
-53.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$12.43
-93.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
NVDA Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$44.58
-78.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$465.62
+127.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $204.64 is 53.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $112.56B | $96.55B |
| Year 2 | $140.70B | $103.51B |
| Year 3 | $175.88B | $110.98B |
| Year 4 | $219.85B | $118.99B |
| Year 5 | $274.81B | $127.57B |
| Year 6 | $343.51B | $136.78B |
| Year 7 | $429.39B | $146.64B |
| Year 8 | $536.74B | $157.22B |
| Year 9 | $670.93B | $168.57B |
| Year 10 | $838.66B | $180.73B |
| Terminal Value | $6.10T | $1.31T |
What Are NVDA's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$204.64
EPS (TTM)
$7.91
Forward P/E
12.9
Profit Margin
63.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
41.8B
EBITDA
201.3B
Book Value
$9.48
Total Debt
38.9B
What Do Analysts Say About NVDA?
Low
$180.00
Average
$328.95
High
$515.00
Upside
+60.7%
NVDA Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NVDA?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NVDA's estimated fair value is $168.35. The stock is currently trading at $204.64, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NVDA's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NVDA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NVDA is overvalued. The current price of $204.64 is 17.7% above our estimated fair value of $168.35.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NVDA?
58 analysts cover NVIDIA Corporation with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $328.95, ranging from $180.00 to $515.00. This implies 60.7% upside from the current price.