What Is ALGN Fair Value?
Align Technology (ALGN) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Align Technology (ALGN) has a composite fair value estimate of $116.50 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $181.26, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 35.7%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$116.50
vs. current price of $181.26(-35.7%)
How Is ALGN Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ALGN is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ALGN Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$97.60
-46.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
ALGN Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$121.71
-32.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$113.63
-37.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $181.26 is 46.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $578.1M | $509.0M |
| Year 2 | $627.2M | $486.1M |
| Year 3 | $680.4M | $464.2M |
| Year 4 | $738.1M | $443.3M |
| Year 5 | $800.6M | $423.3M |
| Year 6 | $868.5M | $404.3M |
| Year 7 | $942.2M | $386.1M |
| Year 8 | $1.02B | $368.7M |
| Year 9 | $1.11B | $352.1M |
| Year 10 | $1.20B | $336.2M |
| Terminal Value | $11.11B | $3.11B |
What Are ALGN's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$181.26
EPS (TTM)
$6.04
Forward P/E
14.7
Profit Margin
10.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
533M
EBITDA
880.8M
Book Value
$57.94
Total Debt
116M
What Do Analysts Say About ALGN?
Low
$175.00
Average
$209.07
High
$240.00
Upside
+15.3%
ALGN Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ALGN?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ALGN's estimated fair value is $116.50. The stock is currently trading at $181.26, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ALGN's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ALGN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ALGN is overvalued. The current price of $181.26 is 35.7% above our estimated fair value of $116.50.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ALGN?
15 analysts cover Align Technology with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $209.07, ranging from $175.00 to $240.00. This implies 15.3% upside from the current price.