What Is ALGN Fair Value?
Align Technology (ALGN) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Align Technology (ALGN) has a composite fair value estimate of $123.12 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $143.54, suggesting the stock is fair value by 14.2%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value3 of 4 models$123.12
vs. current price of $143.54(-14.2%)
How Is ALGN Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ALGN is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ALGN Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$111.29
-22.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
ALGN Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$122.69
-14.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$112.61
-21.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $143.54 is 22.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $646.7M | $569.3M |
| Year 2 | $703.9M | $545.5M |
| Year 3 | $766.1M | $522.8M |
| Year 4 | $833.9M | $500.9M |
| Year 5 | $907.6M | $480.0M |
| Year 6 | $987.9M | $460.0M |
| Year 7 | $1.08B | $440.8M |
| Year 8 | $1.17B | $422.4M |
| Year 9 | $1.27B | $404.7M |
| Year 10 | $1.39B | $387.8M |
| Terminal Value | $12.82B | $3.59B |
What Are ALGN's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$143.54
EPS (TTM)
$5.75
Forward P/E
11.5
Profit Margin
10.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
594.1M
EBITDA
925.7M
Book Value
$59.41
Total Debt
120.8M
What Do Analysts Say About ALGN?
Low
$155.00
Average
$199.21
High
$235.00
Upside
+38.8%
ALGN Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ALGN?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ALGN's estimated fair value is $123.12. The stock is currently trading at $143.54, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is ALGN's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ALGN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ALGN is fair value. The current price of $143.54 is 14.2% above our estimated fair value of $123.12.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ALGN?
14 analysts cover Align Technology with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $199.21, ranging from $155.00 to $235.00. This implies 38.8% upside from the current price.