What Is AMD Fair Value?
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) has a composite fair value estimate of $196.77 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $504.80, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 61.0%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$196.77
vs. current price of $504.80(-61.0%)
How Is AMD Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what AMD is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
AMD Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$123.71
-75.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
AMD Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$84.06
-83.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$381.20
-24.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $504.80 is 75.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $11.05B | $9.37B |
| Year 2 | $13.81B | $9.93B |
| Year 3 | $17.27B | $10.53B |
| Year 4 | $21.59B | $11.16B |
| Year 5 | $26.98B | $11.83B |
| Year 6 | $33.73B | $12.54B |
| Year 7 | $42.16B | $13.29B |
| Year 8 | $52.70B | $14.09B |
| Year 9 | $65.87B | $14.94B |
| Year 10 | $82.34B | $15.83B |
| Terminal Value | $547.19B | $105.22B |
What Are AMD's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$504.80
EPS (TTM)
$3.92
Forward P/E
31.7
Profit Margin
15.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
8.8B
EBITDA
9.6B
Book Value
$41.19
Total Debt
4.3B
What Do Analysts Say About AMD?
Low
$365.00
Average
$640.21
High
$1,250.00
Upside
+26.8%
AMD Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of AMD?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), AMD's estimated fair value is $196.77. The stock is currently trading at $504.80, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is AMD's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is AMD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, AMD is overvalued. The current price of $504.80 is 61.0% above our estimated fair value of $196.77.
What do Wall Street analysts say about AMD?
50 analysts cover Advanced Micro Devices Inc. with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $640.21, ranging from $365.00 to $1,250.00. This implies 26.8% upside from the current price.