What Is APA Fair Value?
APA Corporation (APA) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, APA Corporation (APA) has a composite fair value estimate of $101.15 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $48.01, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 110.7%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$101.15
vs. current price of $48.01(+110.7%)
How Is APA Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what APA is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
APA Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$165.61
+245.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$23.75
-50.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
APA Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$53.66
+11.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$63.91
+33.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $48.01 is 245.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.25B | $2.12B |
| Year 2 | $2.37B | $2.10B |
| Year 3 | $2.49B | $2.07B |
| Year 4 | $2.61B | $2.05B |
| Year 5 | $2.74B | $2.02B |
| Year 6 | $2.88B | $2.00B |
| Year 7 | $3.02B | $1.97B |
| Year 8 | $3.17B | $1.95B |
| Year 9 | $3.33B | $1.93B |
| Year 10 | $3.50B | $1.90B |
| Terminal Value | $94.86B | $51.60B |
What Are APA's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$48.01
EPS (TTM)
$4.73
Forward P/E
10.3
Profit Margin
19.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.1B
EBITDA
5.7B
Book Value
$20.02
Total Debt
3.9B
What Do Analysts Say About APA?
Low
$36.00
Average
$46.80
High
$62.00
Upside
-2.5%
APA Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of APA?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), APA's estimated fair value is $101.15. The stock is currently trading at $48.01, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is APA's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is APA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, APA is undervalued. The current price of $48.01 is 110.7% below our estimated fair value of $101.15.
What do Wall Street analysts say about APA?
25 analysts cover APA Corporation with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $46.80, ranging from $36.00 to $62.00. This implies 2.5% downside from the current price.