What Is APA Fair Value?
APA Corporation (APA) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, APA Corporation (APA) has a composite fair value estimate of $91.95 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $34.27, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 168.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$91.95
vs. current price of $34.27(+168.3%)
How Is APA Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what APA is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
APA Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$148.94
+334.6%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$26.22
-23.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
APA Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$48.80
+42.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$57.94
+69.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $34.27 is 334.6% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.78B | $1.68B |
| Year 2 | $1.86B | $1.67B |
| Year 3 | $1.96B | $1.66B |
| Year 4 | $2.06B | $1.64B |
| Year 5 | $2.16B | $1.63B |
| Year 6 | $2.27B | $1.62B |
| Year 7 | $2.38B | $1.61B |
| Year 8 | $2.50B | $1.60B |
| Year 9 | $2.62B | $1.59B |
| Year 10 | $2.75B | $1.58B |
| Terminal Value | $87.19B | $49.90B |
What Are APA's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$34.27
EPS (TTM)
$4.26
Forward P/E
8.5
Profit Margin
18.3%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.7B
EBITDA
5.2B
Book Value
$18.27
Total Debt
4.5B
What Do Analysts Say About APA?
Low
$32.00
Average
$41.92
High
$62.00
Upside
+22.3%
APA Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of APA?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), APA's estimated fair value is $91.95. The stock is currently trading at $34.27, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is APA's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is APA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, APA is undervalued. The current price of $34.27 is 168.3% below our estimated fair value of $91.95.
What do Wall Street analysts say about APA?
24 analysts cover APA Corporation with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $41.92, ranging from $32.00 to $62.00. This implies 22.3% upside from the current price.