What Is ARES Fair Value?
Ares Management (ARES) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Ares Management (ARES) has a composite fair value estimate of $242.96 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $115.62, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 110.1%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$242.96
vs. current price of $115.62(+110.1%)
How Is ARES Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ARES is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ARES Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$447.22
+286.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$115.55
-0.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
ARES Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$37.84
-67.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$128.08
+10.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $115.62 is 286.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.64B | $2.41B |
| Year 2 | $3.23B | $2.68B |
| Year 3 | $3.94B | $2.98B |
| Year 4 | $4.82B | $3.32B |
| Year 5 | $5.89B | $3.70B |
| Year 6 | $7.19B | $4.12B |
| Year 7 | $8.79B | $4.59B |
| Year 8 | $10.74B | $5.11B |
| Year 9 | $13.13B | $5.69B |
| Year 10 | $16.04B | $6.34B |
| Terminal Value | $227.50B | $89.91B |
What Are ARES's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$115.62
EPS (TTM)
$2.17
Forward P/E
16.3
Profit Margin
12.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.2B
EBITDA
1.4B
Book Value
$11.03
Total Debt
14.9B
What Do Analysts Say About ARES?
Low
$119.00
Average
$145.70
High
$168.00
Upside
+26.0%
ARES Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ARES?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ARES's estimated fair value is $242.96. The stock is currently trading at $115.62, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is ARES's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ARES overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ARES is undervalued. The current price of $115.62 is 110.1% below our estimated fair value of $242.96.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ARES?
20 analysts cover Ares Management with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $145.70, ranging from $119.00 to $168.00. This implies 26.0% upside from the current price.