What Is ARES Fair Value?
Ares Management (ARES) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Ares Management (ARES) has a composite fair value estimate of $229.47 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $124.79, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 83.9%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$229.47
vs. current price of $124.79(+83.9%)
How Is ARES Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ARES is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ARES Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$404.30
+224.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$117.87
-5.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
ARES Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$38.89
-68.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$142.37
+14.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $124.79 is 224.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.18B | $1.98B |
| Year 2 | $2.71B | $2.24B |
| Year 3 | $3.36B | $2.53B |
| Year 4 | $4.17B | $2.86B |
| Year 5 | $5.17B | $3.23B |
| Year 6 | $6.42B | $3.64B |
| Year 7 | $7.97B | $4.11B |
| Year 8 | $9.89B | $4.64B |
| Year 9 | $12.27B | $5.24B |
| Year 10 | $15.22B | $5.92B |
| Terminal Value | $210.69B | $81.92B |
What Are ARES's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$124.79
EPS (TTM)
$2.25
Forward P/E
17.0
Profit Margin
10.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.8B
EBITDA
1.4B
Book Value
$11.38
Total Debt
14.1B
What Do Analysts Say About ARES?
Low
$124.00
Average
$142.94
High
$163.00
Upside
+14.5%
ARES Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ARES?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ARES's estimated fair value is $229.47. The stock is currently trading at $124.79, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is ARES's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ARES overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ARES is undervalued. The current price of $124.79 is 83.9% below our estimated fair value of $229.47.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ARES?
17 analysts cover Ares Management with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $142.94, ranging from $124.00 to $163.00. This implies 14.5% upside from the current price.