What Is AXON Fair Value?
Axon Enterprise (AXON) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Axon Enterprise (AXON) has a composite fair value estimate of $133.11 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $413.35, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 67.8%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$133.11
vs. current price of $413.35(-67.8%)
How Is AXON Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what AXON is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
AXON Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$106.25
-74.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
AXON Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$88.22
-78.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$189.35
-54.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $413.35 is 74.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $277.2M | $247.5M |
| Year 2 | $345.8M | $275.8M |
| Year 3 | $431.4M | $307.3M |
| Year 4 | $538.2M | $342.4M |
| Year 5 | $671.5M | $381.5M |
| Year 6 | $837.8M | $425.1M |
| Year 7 | $1.05B | $473.6M |
| Year 8 | $1.30B | $527.7M |
| Year 9 | $1.63B | $588.0M |
| Year 10 | $2.03B | $655.1M |
| Terminal Value | $21.96B | $7.09B |
What Are AXON's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$413.35
EPS (TTM)
$2.41
Forward P/E
39.2
Profit Margin
6.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
222.2M
EBITDA
165.1M
Book Value
$45.23
Total Debt
1.9B
What Do Analysts Say About AXON?
Low
$440.00
Average
$697.26
High
$830.00
Upside
+68.7%
AXON Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of AXON?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), AXON's estimated fair value is $133.11. The stock is currently trading at $413.35, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is AXON's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is AXON overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, AXON is overvalued. The current price of $413.35 is 67.8% above our estimated fair value of $133.11.
What do Wall Street analysts say about AXON?
19 analysts cover Axon Enterprise with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $697.26, ranging from $440.00 to $830.00. This implies 68.7% upside from the current price.