What Is AXON Fair Value?
Axon Enterprise (AXON) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Axon Enterprise (AXON) has a composite fair value estimate of $101.60 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $541.12, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 81.2%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$101.60
vs. current price of $541.12(-81.2%)
How Is AXON Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what AXON is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
AXON Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$40.67
-92.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
AXON Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$87.11
-83.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$191.34
-64.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $541.12 is 92.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $116.8M | $104.5M |
| Year 2 | $145.8M | $116.8M |
| Year 3 | $182.1M | $130.5M |
| Year 4 | $227.4M | $145.8M |
| Year 5 | $284.0M | $163.0M |
| Year 6 | $354.7M | $182.1M |
| Year 7 | $442.9M | $203.5M |
| Year 8 | $553.2M | $227.4M |
| Year 9 | $690.8M | $254.2M |
| Year 10 | $862.7M | $284.1M |
| Terminal Value | $9.56B | $3.15B |
What Are AXON's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$541.12
EPS (TTM)
$2.44
Forward P/E
51.2
Profit Margin
6.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
62.6M
EBITDA
102.9M
Book Value
$43.86
Total Debt
1.8B
What Do Analysts Say About AXON?
Low
$409.68
Average
$673.15
High
$825.00
Upside
+24.4%
AXON Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of AXON?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), AXON's estimated fair value is $101.60. The stock is currently trading at $541.12, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is AXON's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is AXON overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, AXON is overvalued. The current price of $541.12 is 81.2% above our estimated fair value of $101.60.
What do Wall Street analysts say about AXON?
18 analysts cover Axon Enterprise with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $673.15, ranging from $409.68 to $825.00. This implies 24.4% upside from the current price.