What Is BALL Fair Value?
Ball Corporation (BALL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Ball Corporation (BALL) has a composite fair value estimate of $54.20 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $60.80, suggesting the stock is fair value by 10.9%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$54.20
vs. current price of $60.80(-10.9%)
How Is BALL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what BALL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
BALL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$66.45
+9.3%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$23.13
-62.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
BALL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$43.51
-28.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$49.98
-17.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $60.80 is 9.3% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $769.5M | $713.0M |
| Year 2 | $865.6M | $743.2M |
| Year 3 | $973.8M | $774.8M |
| Year 4 | $1.10B | $807.6M |
| Year 5 | $1.23B | $841.9M |
| Year 6 | $1.39B | $877.6M |
| Year 7 | $1.56B | $914.8M |
| Year 8 | $1.75B | $953.6M |
| Year 9 | $1.97B | $994.0M |
| Year 10 | $2.22B | $1.04B |
| Terminal Value | $42.00B | $19.60B |
What Are BALL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$60.80
EPS (TTM)
$3.45
Forward P/E
13.5
Profit Margin
6.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
403.5M
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$21.04
Total Debt
8.2B
What Do Analysts Say About BALL?
Low
$60.00
Average
$71.14
High
$77.00
Upside
+17.0%
BALL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of BALL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), BALL's estimated fair value is $54.20. The stock is currently trading at $60.80, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is BALL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is BALL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, BALL is fair value. The current price of $60.80 is 10.9% above our estimated fair value of $54.20.
What do Wall Street analysts say about BALL?
14 analysts cover Ball Corporation with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $71.14, ranging from $60.00 to $77.00. This implies 17.0% upside from the current price.