What Is BLDR Fair Value?
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Builders FirstSource (BLDR) has a composite fair value estimate of $47.34 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $76.05, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 37.8%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$47.34
vs. current price of $76.05(-37.8%)
How Is BLDR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what BLDR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
BLDR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$35.66
-53.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
BLDR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$59.69
-21.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$42.53
-44.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $76.05 is 53.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $653.7M | $599.6M |
| Year 2 | $666.8M | $561.0M |
| Year 3 | $680.1M | $524.9M |
| Year 4 | $693.7M | $491.1M |
| Year 5 | $707.6M | $459.5M |
| Year 6 | $721.8M | $429.9M |
| Year 7 | $736.2M | $402.2M |
| Year 8 | $750.9M | $376.3M |
| Year 9 | $765.9M | $352.1M |
| Year 10 | $781.3M | $329.4M |
| Terminal Value | $12.28B | $5.18B |
What Are BLDR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$76.05
EPS (TTM)
$2.65
Forward P/E
12.7
Profit Margin
2.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
640.9M
EBITDA
1.2B
Book Value
$37.24
Total Debt
5.3B
What Do Analysts Say About BLDR?
Low
$76.00
Average
$98.48
High
$133.00
Upside
+29.5%
BLDR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of BLDR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), BLDR's estimated fair value is $47.34. The stock is currently trading at $76.05, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is BLDR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is BLDR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, BLDR is overvalued. The current price of $76.05 is 37.8% above our estimated fair value of $47.34.
What do Wall Street analysts say about BLDR?
21 analysts cover Builders FirstSource with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $98.48, ranging from $76.00 to $133.00. This implies 29.5% upside from the current price.