What Is CARR Fair Value?
Carrier Global (CARR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Carrier Global (CARR) has a composite fair value estimate of $25.46 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $68.74, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 63.0%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$25.46
vs. current price of $68.74(-63.0%)
How Is CARR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CARR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CARR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$17.00
-75.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$16.85
-75.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
CARR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$31.93
-53.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$31.81
-53.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $68.74 is 75.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.24B | $1.12B |
| Year 2 | $1.38B | $1.13B |
| Year 3 | $1.54B | $1.15B |
| Year 4 | $1.71B | $1.16B |
| Year 5 | $1.91B | $1.17B |
| Year 6 | $2.12B | $1.18B |
| Year 7 | $2.36B | $1.19B |
| Year 8 | $2.63B | $1.20B |
| Year 9 | $2.93B | $1.21B |
| Year 10 | $3.26B | $1.22B |
| Terminal Value | $42.87B | $16.08B |
What Are CARR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$68.74
EPS (TTM)
$1.48
Forward P/E
21.4
Profit Margin
6.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
849.8M
EBITDA
3.1B
Book Value
$16.18
Total Debt
12.6B
What Do Analysts Say About CARR?
Low
$60.00
Average
$76.94
High
$90.00
Upside
+11.9%
CARR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CARR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CARR's estimated fair value is $25.46. The stock is currently trading at $68.74, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CARR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CARR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CARR is overvalued. The current price of $68.74 is 63.0% above our estimated fair value of $25.46.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CARR?
21 analysts cover Carrier Global with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $76.94, ranging from $60.00 to $90.00. This implies 11.9% upside from the current price.