What Is CARR Fair Value?
Carrier Global (CARR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Carrier Global (CARR) has a composite fair value estimate of $29.58 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $55.03, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 46.2%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$29.58
vs. current price of $55.03(-46.2%)
How Is CARR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CARR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CARR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$22.41
-59.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$20.00
-63.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
CARR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$32.14
-41.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$37.29
-32.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $55.03 is 59.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.26B | $1.14B |
| Year 2 | $1.42B | $1.17B |
| Year 3 | $1.60B | $1.21B |
| Year 4 | $1.81B | $1.24B |
| Year 5 | $2.05B | $1.27B |
| Year 6 | $2.31B | $1.31B |
| Year 7 | $2.61B | $1.34B |
| Year 8 | $2.95B | $1.38B |
| Year 9 | $3.33B | $1.42B |
| Year 10 | $3.76B | $1.46B |
| Terminal Value | $51.69B | $20.01B |
What Are CARR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$55.03
EPS (TTM)
$1.38
Forward P/E
16.7
Profit Margin
5.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
861.8M
EBITDA
3.1B
Book Value
$15.94
Total Debt
12.4B
What Do Analysts Say About CARR?
Low
$60.00
Average
$74.66
High
$90.00
Upside
+35.7%
CARR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CARR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CARR's estimated fair value is $29.58. The stock is currently trading at $55.03, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CARR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CARR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CARR is overvalued. The current price of $55.03 is 46.2% above our estimated fair value of $29.58.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CARR?
23 analysts cover Carrier Global with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $74.66, ranging from $60.00 to $90.00. This implies 35.7% upside from the current price.