What Is CCL Fair Value?
Carnival Corporation (CCL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Carnival Corporation (CCL) has a composite fair value estimate of $13.56 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $26.73, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 49.3%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$13.56
vs. current price of $26.73(-49.3%)
How Is CCL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CCL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CCL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$3.96
-85.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$3.29
-87.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
CCL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$23.11
-13.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$22.62
-15.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $26.73 is 85.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.21B | $1.98B |
| Year 2 | $2.36B | $1.89B |
| Year 3 | $2.53B | $1.80B |
| Year 4 | $2.70B | $1.72B |
| Year 5 | $2.89B | $1.64B |
| Year 6 | $3.08B | $1.56B |
| Year 7 | $3.30B | $1.49B |
| Year 8 | $3.52B | $1.43B |
| Year 9 | $3.77B | $1.36B |
| Year 10 | $4.02B | $1.30B |
| Terminal Value | $43.53B | $14.05B |
What Are CCL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$26.73
EPS (TTM)
$2.27
Forward P/E
10.4
Profit Margin
11.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.8B
EBITDA
7.3B
Book Value
$10.49
Total Debt
25.2B
What Do Analysts Say About CCL?
Low
$28.70
Average
$33.89
High
$43.00
Upside
+26.8%
CCL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CCL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CCL's estimated fair value is $13.56. The stock is currently trading at $26.73, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CCL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CCL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CCL is overvalued. The current price of $26.73 is 49.3% above our estimated fair value of $13.56.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CCL?
26 analysts cover Carnival Corporation with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $33.89, ranging from $28.70 to $43.00. This implies 26.8% upside from the current price.