What Is CHD Fair Value?
Church & Dwight (CHD) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Church & Dwight (CHD) has a composite fair value estimate of $68.02 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $100.13, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 32.1%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$68.02
vs. current price of $100.13(-32.1%)
How Is CHD Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CHD is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CHD Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$105.75
+5.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$34.50
-65.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
CHD Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$39.45
-60.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$37.73
-62.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $100.13 is 5.6% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.00B | $939.9M |
| Year 2 | $1.07B | $940.5M |
| Year 3 | $1.15B | $941.1M |
| Year 4 | $1.23B | $941.8M |
| Year 5 | $1.31B | $942.4M |
| Year 6 | $1.40B | $943.0M |
| Year 7 | $1.50B | $943.6M |
| Year 8 | $1.60B | $944.3M |
| Year 9 | $1.72B | $944.9M |
| Year 10 | $1.83B | $945.5M |
| Terminal Value | $43.19B | $22.26B |
What Are CHD's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$100.13
EPS (TTM)
$3.12
Forward P/E
24.8
Profit Margin
12.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
939.3M
EBITDA
1.4B
Book Value
$18.34
Total Debt
2.4B
What Do Analysts Say About CHD?
Low
$78.00
Average
$104.84
High
$115.00
Upside
+4.7%
CHD Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CHD?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CHD's estimated fair value is $68.02. The stock is currently trading at $100.13, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CHD's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CHD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CHD is overvalued. The current price of $100.13 is 32.1% above our estimated fair value of $68.02.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CHD?
19 analysts cover Church & Dwight with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $104.84, ranging from $78.00 to $115.00. This implies 4.7% upside from the current price.