What Is CIEN Fair Value?
Ciena (CIEN) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Ciena (CIEN) has a composite fair value estimate of $219.88 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $378.44, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 41.9%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$219.88
vs. current price of $378.44(-41.9%)
How Is CIEN Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CIEN is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CIEN Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$230.95
-39.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
CIEN Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$54.85
-85.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$312.35
-17.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $378.44 is 39.0% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $876.2M | $785.7M |
| Year 2 | $1.10B | $880.8M |
| Year 3 | $1.37B | $987.3M |
| Year 4 | $1.71B | $1.11B |
| Year 5 | $2.14B | $1.24B |
| Year 6 | $2.67B | $1.39B |
| Year 7 | $3.34B | $1.56B |
| Year 8 | $4.18B | $1.75B |
| Year 9 | $5.22B | $1.96B |
| Year 10 | $6.53B | $2.20B |
| Terminal Value | $74.27B | $24.99B |
What Are CIEN's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$378.44
EPS (TTM)
$3.00
Forward P/E
39.1
Profit Margin
7.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
700.9M
EBITDA
785.7M
Book Value
$20.43
Total Debt
1.6B
What Do Analysts Say About CIEN?
Low
$270.00
Average
$557.29
High
$720.00
Upside
+47.3%
CIEN Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CIEN?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CIEN's estimated fair value is $219.88. The stock is currently trading at $378.44, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CIEN's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CIEN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CIEN is overvalued. The current price of $378.44 is 41.9% above our estimated fair value of $219.88.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CIEN?
19 analysts cover Ciena with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $557.29, ranging from $270.00 to $720.00. This implies 47.3% upside from the current price.