What Is CIEN Fair Value?
Ciena (CIEN) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Ciena (CIEN) has a composite fair value estimate of $228.82 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $359.60, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 36.4%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$228.82
vs. current price of $359.60(-36.4%)
How Is CIEN Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CIEN is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CIEN Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$219.05
-39.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
CIEN Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$58.93
-83.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$358.28
-0.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $359.60 is 39.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $791.7M | $712.4M |
| Year 2 | $989.6M | $801.4M |
| Year 3 | $1.24B | $901.4M |
| Year 4 | $1.55B | $1.01B |
| Year 5 | $1.93B | $1.14B |
| Year 6 | $2.42B | $1.28B |
| Year 7 | $3.02B | $1.44B |
| Year 8 | $3.78B | $1.62B |
| Year 9 | $4.72B | $1.83B |
| Year 10 | $5.90B | $2.05B |
| Terminal Value | $70.08B | $24.40B |
What Are CIEN's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$359.60
EPS (TTM)
$4.47
Forward P/E
30.3
Profit Margin
10.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
633.4M
EBITDA
1B
Book Value
$21.54
Total Debt
3.3B
What Do Analysts Say About CIEN?
Low
$347.00
Average
$512.99
High
$660.00
Upside
+42.7%
CIEN Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CIEN?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CIEN's estimated fair value is $228.82. The stock is currently trading at $359.60, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CIEN's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CIEN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CIEN is overvalued. The current price of $359.60 is 36.4% above our estimated fair value of $228.82.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CIEN?
20 analysts cover Ciena with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $512.99, ranging from $347.00 to $660.00. This implies 42.7% upside from the current price.