What Is CSX Fair Value?
CSX Corporation (CSX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, CSX Corporation (CSX) has a composite fair value estimate of $29.40 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $49.43, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 40.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$29.40
vs. current price of $49.43(-40.5%)
How Is CSX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CSX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CSX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$32.88
-33.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$19.14
-61.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
CSX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$17.90
-63.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$34.05
-31.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $49.43 is 33.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.55B | $2.32B |
| Year 2 | $2.99B | $2.48B |
| Year 3 | $3.51B | $2.65B |
| Year 4 | $4.13B | $2.83B |
| Year 5 | $4.85B | $3.02B |
| Year 6 | $5.69B | $3.23B |
| Year 7 | $6.69B | $3.45B |
| Year 8 | $7.85B | $3.69B |
| Year 9 | $9.23B | $3.94B |
| Year 10 | $10.84B | $4.22B |
| Terminal Value | $150.07B | $58.38B |
What Are CSX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$49.43
EPS (TTM)
$1.62
Forward P/E
22.3
Profit Margin
21.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.1B
EBITDA
6.6B
Book Value
$7.31
Total Debt
19.4B
What Do Analysts Say About CSX?
Low
$32.00
Average
$50.50
High
$58.00
Upside
+2.2%
CSX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CSX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CSX's estimated fair value is $29.40. The stock is currently trading at $49.43, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CSX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CSX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CSX is overvalued. The current price of $49.43 is 40.5% above our estimated fair value of $29.40.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CSX?
23 analysts cover CSX Corporation with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $50.50, ranging from $32.00 to $58.00. This implies 2.2% upside from the current price.