What Is CSX Fair Value?
CSX Corporation (CSX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, CSX Corporation (CSX) has a composite fair value estimate of $33.36 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $47.76, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 30.2%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$33.36
vs. current price of $47.76(-30.2%)
How Is CSX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what CSX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
CSX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$39.36
-17.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$19.41
-59.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
CSX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$18.50
-61.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$38.45
-19.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $47.76 is 17.6% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.58B | $2.35B |
| Year 2 | $3.08B | $2.55B |
| Year 3 | $3.67B | $2.77B |
| Year 4 | $4.38B | $3.01B |
| Year 5 | $5.22B | $3.27B |
| Year 6 | $6.22B | $3.54B |
| Year 7 | $7.42B | $3.85B |
| Year 8 | $8.84B | $4.18B |
| Year 9 | $10.54B | $4.53B |
| Year 10 | $12.56B | $4.92B |
| Terminal Value | $175.81B | $68.87B |
What Are CSX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$47.76
EPS (TTM)
$1.72
Forward P/E
20.9
Profit Margin
22.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2B
EBITDA
6.8B
Book Value
$7.60
Total Debt
19.5B
What Do Analysts Say About CSX?
Low
$32.00
Average
$52.80
High
$60.00
Upside
+10.6%
CSX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of CSX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), CSX's estimated fair value is $33.36. The stock is currently trading at $47.76, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is CSX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is CSX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, CSX is overvalued. The current price of $47.76 is 30.2% above our estimated fair value of $33.36.
What do Wall Street analysts say about CSX?
23 analysts cover CSX Corporation with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $52.80, ranging from $32.00 to $60.00. This implies 10.6% upside from the current price.