What Is DAL Fair Value?
Delta Air Lines (DAL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Delta Air Lines (DAL) has a composite fair value estimate of $102.36 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $79.57, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 28.6%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$102.36
vs. current price of $79.57(+28.6%)
How Is DAL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DAL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DAL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$152.58
+91.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$20.96
-73.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
DAL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$64.81
-18.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$80.75
+1.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $79.57 is 91.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $4.31B | $3.93B |
| Year 2 | $4.95B | $4.12B |
| Year 3 | $5.69B | $4.31B |
| Year 4 | $6.54B | $4.52B |
| Year 5 | $7.51B | $4.73B |
| Year 6 | $8.63B | $4.96B |
| Year 7 | $9.91B | $5.19B |
| Year 8 | $11.39B | $5.44B |
| Year 9 | $13.08B | $5.70B |
| Year 10 | $15.03B | $5.97B |
| Terminal Value | $214.84B | $85.36B |
What Are DAL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$79.57
EPS (TTM)
$5.01
Forward P/E
10.7
Profit Margin
4.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.5B
EBITDA
7.5B
Book Value
$34.41
Total Debt
19.9B
What Do Analysts Say About DAL?
Low
$53.00
Average
$101.28
High
$125.00
Upside
+27.3%
DAL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DAL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DAL's estimated fair value is $102.36. The stock is currently trading at $79.57, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is DAL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DAL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DAL is undervalued. The current price of $79.57 is 28.6% below our estimated fair value of $102.36.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DAL?
24 analysts cover Delta Air Lines with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $101.28, ranging from $53.00 to $125.00. This implies 27.3% upside from the current price.