What Is DHI Fair Value?
D. R. Horton (DHI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, D. R. Horton (DHI) has a composite fair value estimate of $97.56 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $147.39, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 33.8%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$97.56
vs. current price of $147.39(-33.8%)
How Is DHI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DHI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DHI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$81.23
-44.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$18.25
-87.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
DHI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$141.14
-4.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$104.35
-29.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $147.39 is 44.9% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.74B | $2.47B |
| Year 2 | $2.80B | $2.28B |
| Year 3 | $2.85B | $2.09B |
| Year 4 | $2.91B | $1.93B |
| Year 5 | $2.97B | $1.77B |
| Year 6 | $3.03B | $1.63B |
| Year 7 | $3.09B | $1.50B |
| Year 8 | $3.15B | $1.38B |
| Year 9 | $3.21B | $1.27B |
| Year 10 | $3.28B | $1.17B |
| Terminal Value | $40.20B | $14.34B |
What Are DHI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$147.39
EPS (TTM)
$10.64
Forward P/E
12.5
Profit Margin
9.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.4B
EBITDA
4.1B
Book Value
$84.85
Total Debt
7.2B
What Do Analysts Say About DHI?
Low
$125.00
Average
$162.92
High
$206.00
Upside
+10.5%
DHI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DHI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DHI's estimated fair value is $97.56. The stock is currently trading at $147.39, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is DHI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DHI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DHI is overvalued. The current price of $147.39 is 33.8% above our estimated fair value of $97.56.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DHI?
12 analysts cover D. R. Horton with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $162.92, ranging from $125.00 to $206.00. This implies 10.5% upside from the current price.