What Is DHI Fair Value?
D. R. Horton (DHI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, D. R. Horton (DHI) has a composite fair value estimate of $101.50 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $151.55, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 33.0%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$101.50
vs. current price of $151.55(-33.0%)
How Is DHI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DHI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DHI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$90.30
-40.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$18.39
-87.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
DHI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$140.47
-7.3%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$105.77
-30.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $151.55 is 40.4% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.95B | $2.66B |
| Year 2 | $3.02B | $2.45B |
| Year 3 | $3.09B | $2.26B |
| Year 4 | $3.16B | $2.09B |
| Year 5 | $3.24B | $1.93B |
| Year 6 | $3.32B | $1.78B |
| Year 7 | $3.40B | $1.65B |
| Year 8 | $3.48B | $1.52B |
| Year 9 | $3.57B | $1.40B |
| Year 10 | $3.65B | $1.30B |
| Terminal Value | $44.51B | $15.81B |
What Are DHI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$151.55
EPS (TTM)
$10.76
Forward P/E
12.6
Profit Margin
9.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.9B
EBITDA
4.3B
Book Value
$82.92
Total Debt
6.6B
What Do Analysts Say About DHI?
Low
$123.00
Average
$168.00
High
$206.00
Upside
+10.9%
DHI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DHI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DHI's estimated fair value is $101.50. The stock is currently trading at $151.55, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is DHI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DHI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DHI is overvalued. The current price of $151.55 is 33.0% above our estimated fair value of $101.50.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DHI?
13 analysts cover D. R. Horton with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $168.00, ranging from $123.00 to $206.00. This implies 10.9% upside from the current price.