What Is DHI Fair Value?
D. R. Horton (DHI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, D. R. Horton (DHI) has a composite fair value estimate of $112.72 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $133.64, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 15.7%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$112.72
vs. current price of $133.64(-15.7%)
How Is DHI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DHI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DHI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$83.75
-37.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
DHI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$141.06
+5.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$104.23
-22.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $133.64 is 37.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.74B | $2.48B |
| Year 2 | $2.80B | $2.29B |
| Year 3 | $2.85B | $2.11B |
| Year 4 | $2.91B | $1.94B |
| Year 5 | $2.97B | $1.79B |
| Year 6 | $3.03B | $1.65B |
| Year 7 | $3.09B | $1.52B |
| Year 8 | $3.15B | $1.40B |
| Year 9 | $3.21B | $1.29B |
| Year 10 | $3.28B | $1.19B |
| Terminal Value | $41.26B | $15.01B |
What Are DHI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$133.64
EPS (TTM)
$10.49
Forward P/E
11.7
Profit Margin
9.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.4B
EBITDA
4.1B
Book Value
$84.85
Total Debt
7.2B
What Do Analysts Say About DHI?
Low
$125.00
Average
$154.43
High
$206.00
Upside
+15.6%
DHI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DHI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DHI's estimated fair value is $112.72. The stock is currently trading at $133.64, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is DHI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DHI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DHI is overvalued. The current price of $133.64 is 15.7% above our estimated fair value of $112.72.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DHI?
14 analysts cover D. R. Horton with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $154.43, ranging from $125.00 to $206.00. This implies 15.6% upside from the current price.