What Is DOW Fair Value?
Dow Inc. (DOW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Dow Inc. (DOW) has a composite fair value estimate of $30.34 based on four valuation models: DCF (0% weight), Graham Number (38% weight), PEG (38% weight), and DDM (23% weight). The current market price is $28.51, suggesting the stock is fair value by 6.4%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value3 of 4 models$30.34
vs. current price of $28.51(+6.4%)
How Is DOW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DOW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DOW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
0% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
N/A
Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
23% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$33.77
+18.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
DOW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
38% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$34.51
+21.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
38% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$24.11
-15.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $249.5M | $236.7M |
| Year 2 | $262.0M | $235.9M |
| Year 3 | $275.1M | $235.0M |
| Year 4 | $288.8M | $234.1M |
| Year 5 | $303.3M | $233.3M |
| Year 6 | $318.4M | $232.4M |
| Year 7 | $334.4M | $231.5M |
| Year 8 | $351.1M | $230.7M |
| Year 9 | $368.6M | $229.8M |
| Year 10 | $387.1M | $229.0M |
| Terminal Value | $13.73B | $8.12B |
What Are DOW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$28.51
EPS (TTM)
-$1.84
Forward P/E
16.6
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
237.6M
EBITDA
4B
Book Value
$21.96
Total Debt
19.4B
What Do Analysts Say About DOW?
Low
$29.00
Average
$33.29
High
$41.00
Upside
+16.8%
DOW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DOW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DOW's estimated fair value is $30.34. The stock is currently trading at $28.51, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is DOW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DOW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DOW is fair value. The current price of $28.51 is 6.4% below our estimated fair value of $30.34.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DOW?
17 analysts cover Dow Inc. with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $33.29, ranging from $29.00 to $41.00. This implies 16.8% upside from the current price.