What Is DPZ Fair Value?
Domino's (DPZ) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Domino's (DPZ) has a composite fair value estimate of $254.26 based on four valuation models: DCF (47% weight), Graham Number (0% weight), PEG (33% weight), and DDM (20% weight). The current market price is $310.87, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 18.2%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$254.26
vs. current price of $310.87(-18.2%)
How Is DPZ Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DPZ is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DPZ Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
47% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$291.64
-6.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
20% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$152.13
-51.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DPZ Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
0% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
N/A
Requires positive EPS and book value. Domino's currently has negative earnings, so the Graham formula cannot be applied.
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
33% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$191.14
-38.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $310.87 is 6.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $570.9M | $529.1M |
| Year 2 | $621.1M | $533.5M |
| Year 3 | $675.8M | $537.9M |
| Year 4 | $735.3M | $542.4M |
| Year 5 | $800.0M | $547.0M |
| Year 6 | $870.4M | $551.5M |
| Year 7 | $946.9M | $556.1M |
| Year 8 | $1.03B | $560.7M |
| Year 9 | $1.12B | $565.4M |
| Year 10 | $1.22B | $570.1M |
| Terminal Value | $23.15B | $10.82B |
What Are DPZ's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$310.87
EPS (TTM)
$17.44
Forward P/E
14.9
Profit Margin
11.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
524.7M
EBITDA
1B
Book Value
-$116.61
Total Debt
5.1B
What Do Analysts Say About DPZ?
Low
$274.00
Average
$391.57
High
$544.00
Upside
+26.0%
DPZ Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DPZ?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DPZ's estimated fair value is $254.26. The stock is currently trading at $310.87, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is DPZ's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DPZ overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DPZ is overvalued. The current price of $310.87 is 18.2% above our estimated fair value of $254.26.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DPZ?
28 analysts cover Domino's with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $391.57, ranging from $274.00 to $544.00. This implies 26.0% upside from the current price.