What Is DRI Fair Value?
Darden Restaurants (DRI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Darden Restaurants (DRI) has a composite fair value estimate of $171.22 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $196.06, suggesting the stock is fair value by 12.7%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$171.22
vs. current price of $196.06(-12.7%)
How Is DRI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DRI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DRI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$243.24
+24.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$169.21
-13.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
DRI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$69.99
-64.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$112.73
-42.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $196.06 is 24.1% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.16B | $1.09B |
| Year 2 | $1.25B | $1.10B |
| Year 3 | $1.35B | $1.11B |
| Year 4 | $1.46B | $1.12B |
| Year 5 | $1.57B | $1.14B |
| Year 6 | $1.70B | $1.15B |
| Year 7 | $1.83B | $1.16B |
| Year 8 | $1.98B | $1.17B |
| Year 9 | $2.13B | $1.19B |
| Year 10 | $2.30B | $1.20B |
| Terminal Value | $55.85B | $29.12B |
What Are DRI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$196.06
EPS (TTM)
$10.45
Forward P/E
15.8
Profit Margin
9.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.1B
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$19.31
Total Debt
8B
What Do Analysts Say About DRI?
Low
$156.00
Average
$228.25
High
$274.00
Upside
+16.4%
DRI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DRI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DRI's estimated fair value is $171.22. The stock is currently trading at $196.06, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is DRI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DRI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DRI is fair value. The current price of $196.06 is 12.7% above our estimated fair value of $171.22.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DRI?
24 analysts cover Darden Restaurants with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $228.25, ranging from $156.00 to $274.00. This implies 16.4% upside from the current price.