What Is DUK Fair Value?
Duke Energy (DUK) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Duke Energy (DUK) has a composite fair value estimate of $107.25 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $119.64, suggesting the stock is fair value by 10.4%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value3 of 4 models$107.25
vs. current price of $119.64(-10.4%)
How Is DUK Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what DUK is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
DUK Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$118.68
-0.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
DUK Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$102.04
-14.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$67.12
-43.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $119.64 is 0.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.93B | $3.73B |
| Year 2 | $4.18B | $3.78B |
| Year 3 | $4.46B | $3.83B |
| Year 4 | $4.75B | $3.88B |
| Year 5 | $5.07B | $3.94B |
| Year 6 | $5.40B | $3.99B |
| Year 7 | $5.76B | $4.04B |
| Year 8 | $6.13B | $4.09B |
| Year 9 | $6.54B | $4.15B |
| Year 10 | $6.97B | $4.20B |
| Terminal Value | $266.40B | $160.75B |
What Are DUK's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$119.64
EPS (TTM)
$6.64
Forward P/E
16.7
Profit Margin
16.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-4.5B
EBITDA
16.6B
Book Value
$68.95
Total Debt
92.2B
What Do Analysts Say About DUK?
Low
$121.00
Average
$133.94
High
$147.00
Upside
+12.0%
DUK Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of DUK?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), DUK's estimated fair value is $107.25. The stock is currently trading at $119.64, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is DUK's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is DUK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, DUK is fair value. The current price of $119.64 is 10.4% above our estimated fair value of $107.25.
What do Wall Street analysts say about DUK?
18 analysts cover Duke Energy with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $133.94, ranging from $121.00 to $147.00. This implies 12.0% upside from the current price.