What Is ECL Fair Value?
Ecolab (ECL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Ecolab (ECL) has a composite fair value estimate of $114.43 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $285.66, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 59.9%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$114.43
vs. current price of $285.66(-59.9%)
How Is ECL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ECL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ECL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$137.14
-52.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$90.31
-68.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
ECL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$81.17
-71.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$96.49
-66.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $285.66 is 52.0% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.74B | $1.60B |
| Year 2 | $1.95B | $1.65B |
| Year 3 | $2.18B | $1.70B |
| Year 4 | $2.43B | $1.75B |
| Year 5 | $2.72B | $1.81B |
| Year 6 | $3.04B | $1.86B |
| Year 7 | $3.40B | $1.92B |
| Year 8 | $3.81B | $1.98B |
| Year 9 | $4.25B | $2.04B |
| Year 10 | $4.76B | $2.10B |
| Terminal Value | $80.78B | $35.60B |
What Are ECL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$285.66
EPS (TTM)
$7.45
Forward P/E
30.4
Profit Margin
12.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.5B
EBITDA
4.1B
Book Value
$35.87
Total Debt
13.9B
What Do Analysts Say About ECL?
Low
$295.00
Average
$325.05
High
$360.00
Upside
+13.8%
ECL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ECL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ECL's estimated fair value is $114.43. The stock is currently trading at $285.66, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ECL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ECL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ECL is overvalued. The current price of $285.66 is 59.9% above our estimated fair value of $114.43.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ECL?
21 analysts cover Ecolab with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $325.05, ranging from $295.00 to $360.00. This implies 13.8% upside from the current price.