What Is ECL Fair Value?
Ecolab (ECL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Ecolab (ECL) has a composite fair value estimate of $109.95 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $270.25, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 59.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$109.95
vs. current price of $270.25(-59.3%)
How Is ECL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ECL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ECL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$128.90
-52.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$85.65
-68.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
ECL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$80.91
-70.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$95.20
-64.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $270.25 is 52.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.77B | $1.63B |
| Year 2 | $1.98B | $1.67B |
| Year 3 | $2.21B | $1.71B |
| Year 4 | $2.46B | $1.76B |
| Year 5 | $2.75B | $1.80B |
| Year 6 | $3.07B | $1.85B |
| Year 7 | $3.43B | $1.90B |
| Year 8 | $3.83B | $1.94B |
| Year 9 | $4.27B | $1.99B |
| Year 10 | $4.77B | $2.05B |
| Terminal Value | $77.21B | $33.13B |
What Are ECL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$270.25
EPS (TTM)
$7.40
Forward P/E
28.8
Profit Margin
12.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.6B
EBITDA
4B
Book Value
$35.55
Total Debt
9.3B
What Do Analysts Say About ECL?
Low
$275.00
Average
$319.40
High
$345.00
Upside
+18.2%
ECL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ECL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ECL's estimated fair value is $109.95. The stock is currently trading at $270.25, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ECL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ECL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ECL is overvalued. The current price of $270.25 is 59.3% above our estimated fair value of $109.95.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ECL?
20 analysts cover Ecolab with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $319.40, ranging from $275.00 to $345.00. This implies 18.2% upside from the current price.