What Is EL Fair Value?
Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) has a composite fair value estimate of $245.49 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $82.31, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 198.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$245.49
vs. current price of $82.31(+198.3%)
How Is EL Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what EL is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
EL Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$497.70
+504.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$44.01
-46.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
EL Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$24.54
-70.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$111.29
+35.2%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $82.31 is 504.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.26B | $2.07B |
| Year 2 | $2.82B | $2.37B |
| Year 3 | $3.53B | $2.72B |
| Year 4 | $4.41B | $3.12B |
| Year 5 | $5.52B | $3.57B |
| Year 6 | $6.90B | $4.09B |
| Year 7 | $8.62B | $4.69B |
| Year 8 | $10.77B | $5.37B |
| Year 9 | $13.47B | $6.16B |
| Year 10 | $16.83B | $7.05B |
| Terminal Value | $261.93B | $109.75B |
What Are EL's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$82.31
EPS (TTM)
-$0.72
Forward P/E
25.9
Profit Margin
-1.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.8B
EBITDA
2.4B
Book Value
$11.04
Total Debt
9.3B
What Do Analysts Say About EL?
Low
$70.00
Average
$95.31
High
$125.00
Upside
+15.8%
EL Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of EL?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), EL's estimated fair value is $245.49. The stock is currently trading at $82.31, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is EL's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is EL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, EL is undervalued. The current price of $82.31 is 198.3% below our estimated fair value of $245.49.
What do Wall Street analysts say about EL?
26 analysts cover Estée Lauder Companies (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $95.31, ranging from $70.00 to $125.00. This implies 15.8% upside from the current price.