What Is ES Fair Value?
Eversource Energy (ES) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Eversource Energy (ES) has a composite fair value estimate of $40.46 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $73.79, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 45.2%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$40.46
vs. current price of $73.79(-45.2%)
How Is ES Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what ES is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
ES Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$10.60
-85.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$49.99
-32.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
ES Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$67.84
-8.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$46.53
-36.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $73.79 is 85.6% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.29B | $1.22B |
| Year 2 | $1.32B | $1.17B |
| Year 3 | $1.35B | $1.13B |
| Year 4 | $1.37B | $1.08B |
| Year 5 | $1.40B | $1.04B |
| Year 6 | $1.43B | $1.00B |
| Year 7 | $1.46B | $964.0M |
| Year 8 | $1.49B | $926.8M |
| Year 9 | $1.52B | $891.1M |
| Year 10 | $1.55B | $856.8M |
| Terminal Value | $44.19B | $24.47B |
What Are ES's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$73.79
EPS (TTM)
$4.62
Forward P/E
15.1
Profit Margin
12.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
587.3M
EBITDA
4.9B
Book Value
$43.97
Total Debt
30.3B
What Do Analysts Say About ES?
Low
$54.00
Average
$72.83
High
$85.00
Upside
-1.3%
ES Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of ES?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), ES's estimated fair value is $40.46. The stock is currently trading at $73.79, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is ES's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is ES overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, ES is overvalued. The current price of $73.79 is 45.2% above our estimated fair value of $40.46.
What do Wall Street analysts say about ES?
12 analysts cover Eversource Energy with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $72.83, ranging from $54.00 to $85.00. This implies 1.3% downside from the current price.