What Is EXC Fair Value?
Exelon (EXC) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Exelon (EXC) has a composite fair value estimate of $38.31 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $45.74, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 16.3%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$38.31
vs. current price of $45.74(-16.3%)
How Is EXC Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what EXC is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
EXC Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$35.27
-22.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$39.44
-13.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
EXC Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$42.91
-6.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$28.56
-37.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $45.74 is 22.9% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.17B | $2.07B |
| Year 2 | $2.28B | $2.05B |
| Year 3 | $2.39B | $2.04B |
| Year 4 | $2.50B | $2.03B |
| Year 5 | $2.62B | $2.02B |
| Year 6 | $2.74B | $2.01B |
| Year 7 | $2.87B | $2.00B |
| Year 8 | $3.01B | $1.99B |
| Year 9 | $3.15B | $1.98B |
| Year 10 | $3.30B | $1.97B |
| Terminal Value | $121.75B | $72.81B |
What Are EXC's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$45.74
EPS (TTM)
$2.73
Forward P/E
15.1
Profit Margin
11.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-2.8B
EBITDA
8.2B
Book Value
$28.65
Total Debt
51.2B
What Do Analysts Say About EXC?
Low
$41.00
Average
$49.44
High
$58.00
Upside
+8.1%
EXC Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of EXC?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), EXC's estimated fair value is $38.31. The stock is currently trading at $45.74, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is EXC's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is EXC overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, EXC is overvalued. The current price of $45.74 is 16.3% above our estimated fair value of $38.31.
What do Wall Street analysts say about EXC?
18 analysts cover Exelon with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $49.44, ranging from $41.00 to $58.00. This implies 8.1% upside from the current price.