What Is EXE Fair Value?
Expand Energy (EXE) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Expand Energy (EXE) has a composite fair value estimate of $156.01 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $87.63, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 78.0%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$156.01
vs. current price of $87.63(+78.0%)
How Is EXE Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what EXE is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
EXE Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$217.42
+148.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$86.20
-1.6%Fair Value
Inputs used
EXE Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$126.65
+44.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$87.57
-0.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $87.63 is 148.1% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.77B | $1.67B |
| Year 2 | $1.86B | $1.66B |
| Year 3 | $1.95B | $1.65B |
| Year 4 | $2.05B | $1.63B |
| Year 5 | $2.15B | $1.62B |
| Year 6 | $2.26B | $1.61B |
| Year 7 | $2.37B | $1.60B |
| Year 8 | $2.49B | $1.58B |
| Year 9 | $2.62B | $1.57B |
| Year 10 | $2.75B | $1.56B |
| Terminal Value | $84.43B | $47.87B |
What Are EXE's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$87.63
EPS (TTM)
$13.42
Forward P/E
10.3
Profit Margin
24.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.7B
EBITDA
7.4B
Book Value
$81.41
Total Debt
5.1B
What Do Analysts Say About EXE?
Low
$100.00
Average
$126.08
High
$160.00
Upside
+43.9%
EXE Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of EXE?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), EXE's estimated fair value is $156.01. The stock is currently trading at $87.63, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is EXE's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is EXE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, EXE is undervalued. The current price of $87.63 is 78.0% below our estimated fair value of $156.01.
What do Wall Street analysts say about EXE?
25 analysts cover Expand Energy with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $126.08, ranging from $100.00 to $160.00. This implies 43.9% upside from the current price.