What Is EXPE Fair Value?
Expedia Group (EXPE) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Expedia Group (EXPE) has a composite fair value estimate of $652.12 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $267.11, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 144.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$652.12
vs. current price of $267.11(+144.1%)
How Is EXPE Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what EXPE is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
EXPE Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$1,285.71
+381.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$58.02
-78.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
EXPE Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$46.20
-82.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$409.82
+53.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $267.11 is 381.3% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $4.20B | $3.81B |
| Year 2 | $5.07B | $4.17B |
| Year 3 | $6.12B | $4.56B |
| Year 4 | $7.39B | $4.99B |
| Year 5 | $8.93B | $5.47B |
| Year 6 | $10.78B | $5.98B |
| Year 7 | $13.01B | $6.55B |
| Year 8 | $15.71B | $7.17B |
| Year 9 | $18.97B | $7.85B |
| Year 10 | $22.90B | $8.59B |
| Terminal Value | $301.02B | $112.95B |
What Are EXPE's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$267.11
EPS (TTM)
$11.35
Forward P/E
11.6
Profit Margin
9.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
3.5B
EBITDA
2.6B
Book Value
$4.80
Total Debt
4.7B
What Do Analysts Say About EXPE?
Low
$230.00
Average
$286.50
High
$409.00
Upside
+7.3%
EXPE Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of EXPE?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), EXPE's estimated fair value is $652.12. The stock is currently trading at $267.11, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is EXPE's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is EXPE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, EXPE is undervalued. The current price of $267.11 is 144.1% below our estimated fair value of $652.12.
What do Wall Street analysts say about EXPE?
34 analysts cover Expedia Group with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $286.50, ranging from $230.00 to $409.00. This implies 7.3% upside from the current price.