What Is EXPE Fair Value?
Expedia Group (EXPE) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Expedia Group (EXPE) has a composite fair value estimate of $795.97 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $273.44, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 191.1%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$795.97
vs. current price of $273.44(+191.1%)
How Is EXPE Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what EXPE is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
EXPE Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$1,557.90
+469.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$51.96
-81.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
EXPE Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$69.03
-74.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$517.73
+89.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $273.44 is 469.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $4.28B | $3.86B |
| Year 2 | $5.33B | $4.35B |
| Year 3 | $6.65B | $4.89B |
| Year 4 | $8.29B | $5.51B |
| Year 5 | $10.33B | $6.20B |
| Year 6 | $12.87B | $6.97B |
| Year 7 | $16.04B | $7.85B |
| Year 8 | $19.99B | $8.83B |
| Year 9 | $24.91B | $9.94B |
| Year 10 | $31.05B | $11.18B |
| Terminal Value | $385.58B | $138.84B |
What Are EXPE's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$273.44
EPS (TTM)
$16.01
Forward P/E
11.1
Profit Margin
13.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
3.4B
EBITDA
2.9B
Book Value
$10.08
Total Debt
5.7B
What Do Analysts Say About EXPE?
Low
$235.00
Average
$336.14
High
$430.00
Upside
+22.9%
EXPE Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of EXPE?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), EXPE's estimated fair value is $795.97. The stock is currently trading at $273.44, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is EXPE's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is EXPE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, EXPE is undervalued. The current price of $273.44 is 191.1% below our estimated fair value of $795.97.
What do Wall Street analysts say about EXPE?
35 analysts cover Expedia Group with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $336.14, ranging from $235.00 to $430.00. This implies 22.9% upside from the current price.