What Is FAST Fair Value?
Fastenal (FAST) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Fastenal (FAST) has a composite fair value estimate of $25.95 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $45.36, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 42.8%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$25.95
vs. current price of $45.36(-42.8%)
How Is FAST Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what FAST is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
FAST Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$27.29
-39.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$54.07
+19.2%Undervalued
Inputs used
FAST Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$10.01
-77.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$16.39
-63.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $45.36 is 39.8% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.07B | $984.5M |
| Year 2 | $1.21B | $1.03B |
| Year 3 | $1.36B | $1.07B |
| Year 4 | $1.54B | $1.12B |
| Year 5 | $1.74B | $1.17B |
| Year 6 | $1.97B | $1.22B |
| Year 7 | $2.23B | $1.27B |
| Year 8 | $2.52B | $1.32B |
| Year 9 | $2.85B | $1.38B |
| Year 10 | $3.22B | $1.44B |
| Terminal Value | $56.11B | $25.08B |
What Are FAST's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$45.36
EPS (TTM)
$1.17
Forward P/E
32.6
Profit Margin
15.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
916.1M
EBITDA
2B
Book Value
$3.55
Total Debt
441.5M
What Do Analysts Say About FAST?
Low
$39.90
Average
$47.84
High
$55.00
Upside
+5.5%
FAST Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of FAST?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), FAST's estimated fair value is $25.95. The stock is currently trading at $45.36, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is FAST's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is FAST overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, FAST is overvalued. The current price of $45.36 is 42.8% above our estimated fair value of $25.95.
What do Wall Street analysts say about FAST?
13 analysts cover Fastenal with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $47.84, ranging from $39.90 to $55.00. This implies 5.5% upside from the current price.