What Is FSLR Fair Value?
First Solar (FSLR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, First Solar (FSLR) has a composite fair value estimate of $387.24 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $223.82, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 73.0%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$387.24
vs. current price of $223.82(+73.0%)
How Is FSLR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what FSLR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
FSLR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$383.96
+71.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
FSLR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$189.28
-15.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$494.94
+121.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $223.82 is 71.5% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.43B | $1.26B |
| Year 2 | $1.79B | $1.39B |
| Year 3 | $2.24B | $1.52B |
| Year 4 | $2.80B | $1.67B |
| Year 5 | $3.50B | $1.84B |
| Year 6 | $4.38B | $2.02B |
| Year 7 | $5.47B | $2.22B |
| Year 8 | $6.84B | $2.44B |
| Year 9 | $8.55B | $2.68B |
| Year 10 | $10.69B | $2.94B |
| Terminal Value | $97.17B | $26.73B |
What Are FSLR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$223.82
EPS (TTM)
$15.71
Forward P/E
9.5
Profit Margin
30.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.1B
EBITDA
2.3B
Book Value
$91.93
Total Debt
587.1M
What Do Analysts Say About FSLR?
Low
$150.00
Average
$254.26
High
$330.00
Upside
+13.6%
FSLR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of FSLR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), FSLR's estimated fair value is $387.24. The stock is currently trading at $223.82, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is FSLR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is FSLR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, FSLR is undervalued. The current price of $223.82 is 73.0% below our estimated fair value of $387.24.
What do Wall Street analysts say about FSLR?
28 analysts cover First Solar with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $254.26, ranging from $150.00 to $330.00. This implies 13.6% upside from the current price.