What Is GWW Fair Value?
W. W. Grainger (GWW) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, W. W. Grainger (GWW) has a composite fair value estimate of $532.83 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $1,371.44, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 61.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$532.83
vs. current price of $1,371.44(-61.1%)
How Is GWW Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what GWW is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
GWW Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$654.62
-52.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$271.36
-80.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
GWW Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$292.30
-78.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$598.01
-56.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $1371.44 is 52.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.45B | $1.32B |
| Year 2 | $1.64B | $1.35B |
| Year 3 | $1.85B | $1.39B |
| Year 4 | $2.09B | $1.43B |
| Year 5 | $2.37B | $1.47B |
| Year 6 | $2.68B | $1.52B |
| Year 7 | $3.03B | $1.56B |
| Year 8 | $3.43B | $1.61B |
| Year 9 | $3.88B | $1.65B |
| Year 10 | $4.38B | $1.70B |
| Terminal Value | $60.43B | $23.44B |
What Are GWW's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$1,371.44
EPS (TTM)
$37.17
Forward P/E
27.2
Profit Margin
9.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
3.1B
Book Value
$83.22
Total Debt
2.8B
What Do Analysts Say About GWW?
Low
$930.00
Average
$1,281.57
High
$1,460.00
Upside
-6.6%
GWW Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of GWW?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), GWW's estimated fair value is $532.83. The stock is currently trading at $1,371.44, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is GWW's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is GWW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, GWW is overvalued. The current price of $1,371.44 is 61.1% above our estimated fair value of $532.83.
What do Wall Street analysts say about GWW?
14 analysts cover W. W. Grainger with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $1,281.57, ranging from $930.00 to $1,460.00. This implies 6.6% downside from the current price.