What Is HLT Fair Value?
Hilton Worldwide (HLT) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Hilton Worldwide (HLT) has a composite fair value estimate of $117.10 based on four valuation models: DCF (47% weight), Graham Number (0% weight), PEG (33% weight), and DDM (20% weight). The current market price is $321.85, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 63.6%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$117.10
vs. current price of $321.85(-63.6%)
How Is HLT Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HLT is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HLT Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
47% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$132.30
-58.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
20% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$17.98
-94.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
HLT Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
0% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
N/A
Requires positive EPS and book value. Hilton Worldwide currently has negative earnings, so the Graham formula cannot be applied.
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
33% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$122.61
-61.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $321.85 is 58.9% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.58B | $1.45B |
| Year 2 | $1.80B | $1.50B |
| Year 3 | $2.04B | $1.56B |
| Year 4 | $2.32B | $1.62B |
| Year 5 | $2.63B | $1.69B |
| Year 6 | $2.99B | $1.75B |
| Year 7 | $3.40B | $1.82B |
| Year 8 | $3.86B | $1.89B |
| Year 9 | $4.38B | $1.97B |
| Year 10 | $4.97B | $2.04B |
| Terminal Value | $74.87B | $30.74B |
What Are HLT's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$321.85
EPS (TTM)
$6.73
Forward P/E
30.8
Profit Margin
31.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.4B
EBITDA
3.1B
Book Value
-$27.93
Total Debt
14B
What Do Analysts Say About HLT?
Low
$270.00
Average
$352.85
High
$394.00
Upside
+9.6%
HLT Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HLT?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HLT's estimated fair value is $117.10. The stock is currently trading at $321.85, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is HLT's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HLT overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HLT is overvalued. The current price of $321.85 is 63.6% above our estimated fair value of $117.10.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HLT?
26 analysts cover Hilton Worldwide with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $352.85, ranging from $270.00 to $394.00. This implies 9.6% upside from the current price.