What Is HLT Fair Value?
Hilton Worldwide (HLT) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Hilton Worldwide (HLT) has a composite fair value estimate of $135.74 based on four valuation models: DCF (58% weight), Graham Number (0% weight), PEG (42% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $328.00, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 58.6%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued2 of 4 models$135.74
vs. current price of $328.00(-58.6%)
How Is HLT Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HLT is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HLT Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
58% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$124.07
-62.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
HLT Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
0% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
N/A
Requires positive EPS and book value. Hilton Worldwide currently has negative earnings, so the Graham formula cannot be applied.
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
42% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$121.44
-63.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $328.00 is 62.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.58B | $1.44B |
| Year 2 | $1.79B | $1.49B |
| Year 3 | $2.03B | $1.55B |
| Year 4 | $2.31B | $1.60B |
| Year 5 | $2.62B | $1.66B |
| Year 6 | $2.97B | $1.72B |
| Year 7 | $3.37B | $1.78B |
| Year 8 | $3.82B | $1.84B |
| Year 9 | $4.33B | $1.91B |
| Year 10 | $4.91B | $1.98B |
| Terminal Value | $71.70B | $28.88B |
What Are HLT's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$328.00
EPS (TTM)
$6.82
Forward P/E
31.4
Profit Margin
31.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.4B
EBITDA
3.1B
Book Value
-$27.93
Total Debt
14B
What Do Analysts Say About HLT?
Low
$270.00
Average
$352.69
High
$390.00
Upside
+7.5%
HLT Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HLT?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HLT's estimated fair value is $135.74. The stock is currently trading at $328.00, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is HLT's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HLT overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HLT is overvalued. The current price of $328.00 is 58.6% above our estimated fair value of $135.74.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HLT?
26 analysts cover Hilton Worldwide with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $352.69, ranging from $270.00 to $390.00. This implies 7.5% upside from the current price.