What Is HST Fair Value?
Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) has a composite fair value estimate of $16.17 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $23.80, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 32.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$16.17
vs. current price of $23.80(-32.1%)
How Is HST Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HST is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HST Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$17.80
-25.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$9.43
-60.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
HST Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$16.93
-28.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$12.78
-46.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $23.80 is 25.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.21B | $1.12B |
| Year 2 | $1.24B | $1.04B |
| Year 3 | $1.26B | $977.7M |
| Year 4 | $1.29B | $915.5M |
| Year 5 | $1.31B | $857.3M |
| Year 6 | $1.34B | $802.8M |
| Year 7 | $1.37B | $751.7M |
| Year 8 | $1.40B | $703.9M |
| Year 9 | $1.42B | $659.1M |
| Year 10 | $1.45B | $617.2M |
| Terminal Value | $23.14B | $9.84B |
What Are HST's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$23.80
EPS (TTM)
$1.50
Forward P/E
23.8
Profit Margin
16.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
1.7B
Book Value
$9.97
Total Debt
5.6B
What Do Analysts Say About HST?
Low
$21.00
Average
$24.50
High
$28.00
Upside
+3.0%
HST Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HST?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HST's estimated fair value is $16.17. The stock is currently trading at $23.80, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is HST's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HST overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HST is overvalued. The current price of $23.80 is 32.1% above our estimated fair value of $16.17.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HST?
20 analysts cover Host Hotels & Resorts with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $24.50, ranging from $21.00 to $28.00. This implies 3.0% upside from the current price.