What Is HSY Fair Value?
Hershey Company (The) (HSY) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Hershey Company (The) (HSY) has a composite fair value estimate of $1,337.25 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $179.05, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 646.9%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$1,337.25
vs. current price of $179.05(+646.9%)
How Is HSY Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HSY is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HSY Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$2,856.56
+1495.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$604.43
+237.6%Undervalued
Inputs used
HSY Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$65.86
-63.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$215.55
+20.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $179.05 is 1495.4% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.18B | $2.08B |
| Year 2 | $2.72B | $2.48B |
| Year 3 | $3.41B | $2.96B |
| Year 4 | $4.26B | $3.52B |
| Year 5 | $5.32B | $4.20B |
| Year 6 | $6.65B | $5.01B |
| Year 7 | $8.31B | $5.97B |
| Year 8 | $10.39B | $7.12B |
| Year 9 | $12.99B | $8.49B |
| Year 10 | $16.24B | $10.13B |
| Terminal Value | $713.24B | $444.86B |
What Are HSY's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$179.05
EPS (TTM)
$7.23
Forward P/E
18.1
Profit Margin
12.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.7B
EBITDA
2.7B
Book Value
$22.71
Total Debt
5.9B
What Do Analysts Say About HSY?
Low
$170.00
Average
$205.52
High
$250.00
Upside
+14.8%
HSY Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HSY?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HSY's estimated fair value is $1,337.25. The stock is currently trading at $179.05, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is HSY's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HSY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HSY is undervalued. The current price of $179.05 is 646.9% below our estimated fair value of $1,337.25.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HSY?
21 analysts cover Hershey Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $205.52, ranging from $170.00 to $250.00. This implies 14.8% upside from the current price.