What Is HSY Fair Value?
Hershey Company (The) (HSY) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Hershey Company (The) (HSY) has a composite fair value estimate of $1,500.01 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $164.25, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 813.2%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$1,500.01
vs. current price of $164.25(+813.2%)
How Is HSY Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HSY is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HSY Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$2,926.40
+1681.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
HSY Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$65.84
-59.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$214.25
+30.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $164.25 is 1681.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.18B | $2.08B |
| Year 2 | $2.72B | $2.48B |
| Year 3 | $3.41B | $2.96B |
| Year 4 | $4.26B | $3.53B |
| Year 5 | $5.32B | $4.21B |
| Year 6 | $6.65B | $5.03B |
| Year 7 | $8.31B | $5.99B |
| Year 8 | $10.39B | $7.15B |
| Year 9 | $12.99B | $8.53B |
| Year 10 | $16.24B | $10.18B |
| Terminal Value | $728.77B | $456.72B |
What Are HSY's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$164.25
EPS (TTM)
$7.32
Forward P/E
16.7
Profit Margin
12.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.7B
EBITDA
2.7B
Book Value
$22.71
Total Debt
5.9B
What Do Analysts Say About HSY?
Low
$170.00
Average
$201.05
High
$250.00
Upside
+22.4%
HSY Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HSY?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HSY's estimated fair value is $1,500.01. The stock is currently trading at $164.25, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is HSY's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HSY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HSY is undervalued. The current price of $164.25 is 813.2% below our estimated fair value of $1,500.01.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HSY?
21 analysts cover Hershey Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $201.05, ranging from $170.00 to $250.00. This implies 22.4% upside from the current price.