What Is HSY Fair Value?
Hershey Company (The) (HSY) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Hershey Company (The) (HSY) has a composite fair value estimate of $1,174.57 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $170.27, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 589.8%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$1,174.57
vs. current price of $170.27(+589.8%)
How Is HSY Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HSY is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HSY Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$2,461.72
+1345.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$604.47
+255.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
HSY Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$66.52
-60.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$214.49
+26.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $170.27 is 1345.8% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.91B | $1.82B |
| Year 2 | $2.39B | $2.17B |
| Year 3 | $2.98B | $2.59B |
| Year 4 | $3.73B | $3.09B |
| Year 5 | $4.66B | $3.68B |
| Year 6 | $5.83B | $4.39B |
| Year 7 | $7.28B | $5.23B |
| Year 8 | $9.10B | $6.24B |
| Year 9 | $11.38B | $7.44B |
| Year 10 | $14.22B | $8.87B |
| Terminal Value | $623.33B | $388.59B |
What Are HSY's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$170.27
EPS (TTM)
$5.33
Forward P/E
17.2
Profit Margin
9.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.5B
EBITDA
2.3B
Book Value
$23.34
Total Debt
5.7B
What Do Analysts Say About HSY?
Low
$166.00
Average
$213.48
High
$255.00
Upside
+25.4%
HSY Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HSY?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HSY's estimated fair value is $1,174.57. The stock is currently trading at $170.27, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is HSY's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HSY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HSY is undervalued. The current price of $170.27 is 589.8% below our estimated fair value of $1,174.57.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HSY?
21 analysts cover Hershey Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $213.48, ranging from $166.00 to $255.00. This implies 25.4% upside from the current price.