What Is HWM Fair Value?
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Howmet Aerospace (HWM) has a composite fair value estimate of $117.02 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $216.84, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 46.0%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$117.02
vs. current price of $216.84(-46.0%)
How Is HWM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HWM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HWM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$149.22
-31.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$19.37
-91.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
HWM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$41.49
-80.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$169.19
-22.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $216.84 is 31.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.49B | $1.34B |
| Year 2 | $1.86B | $1.52B |
| Year 3 | $2.32B | $1.71B |
| Year 4 | $2.90B | $1.93B |
| Year 5 | $3.63B | $2.18B |
| Year 6 | $4.54B | $2.46B |
| Year 7 | $5.67B | $2.78B |
| Year 8 | $7.09B | $3.13B |
| Year 9 | $8.87B | $3.54B |
| Year 10 | $11.08B | $3.99B |
| Terminal Value | $137.60B | $49.54B |
What Are HWM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$216.84
EPS (TTM)
$4.64
Forward P/E
33.4
Profit Margin
20.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
2.8B
Book Value
$14.33
Total Debt
4.7B
What Do Analysts Say About HWM?
Low
$255.00
Average
$327.05
High
$377.00
Upside
+50.8%
HWM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HWM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HWM's estimated fair value is $117.02. The stock is currently trading at $216.84, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is HWM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HWM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HWM is overvalued. The current price of $216.84 is 46.0% above our estimated fair value of $117.02.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HWM?
20 analysts cover Howmet Aerospace with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $327.05, ranging from $255.00 to $377.00. This implies 50.8% upside from the current price.