What Is HWM Fair Value?
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Howmet Aerospace (HWM) has a composite fair value estimate of $109.52 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $279.24, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 60.8%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$109.52
vs. current price of $279.24(-60.8%)
How Is HWM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what HWM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
HWM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$152.96
-45.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$17.06
-93.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
HWM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$39.61
-85.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$136.31
-51.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $279.24 is 45.2% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.49B | $1.35B |
| Year 2 | $1.86B | $1.52B |
| Year 3 | $2.33B | $1.72B |
| Year 4 | $2.91B | $1.94B |
| Year 5 | $3.64B | $2.19B |
| Year 6 | $4.55B | $2.47B |
| Year 7 | $5.69B | $2.78B |
| Year 8 | $7.11B | $3.14B |
| Year 9 | $8.89B | $3.55B |
| Year 10 | $11.11B | $4.00B |
| Terminal Value | $138.10B | $49.77B |
What Are HWM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$279.24
EPS (TTM)
$4.36
Forward P/E
46.1
Profit Margin
20.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
2.6B
Book Value
$13.77
Total Debt
4.8B
What Do Analysts Say About HWM?
Low
$256.56
Average
$311.68
High
$346.00
Upside
+11.6%
HWM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of HWM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), HWM's estimated fair value is $109.52. The stock is currently trading at $279.24, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is HWM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is HWM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, HWM is overvalued. The current price of $279.24 is 60.8% above our estimated fair value of $109.52.
What do Wall Street analysts say about HWM?
20 analysts cover Howmet Aerospace with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $311.68, ranging from $256.56 to $346.00. This implies 11.6% upside from the current price.