What Is JCI Fair Value?
Johnson Controls (JCI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Johnson Controls (JCI) has a composite fair value estimate of $155.59 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $156.47, suggesting the stock is fair value by 0.6%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$155.59
vs. current price of $156.47(-0.6%)
How Is JCI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what JCI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
JCI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$244.48
+56.2%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$48.81
-68.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
JCI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$50.39
-67.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$140.01
-10.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $156.47 is 56.2% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.73B | $3.37B |
| Year 2 | $4.66B | $3.79B |
| Year 3 | $5.83B | $4.28B |
| Year 4 | $7.29B | $4.83B |
| Year 5 | $9.11B | $5.44B |
| Year 6 | $11.38B | $6.14B |
| Year 7 | $14.23B | $6.92B |
| Year 8 | $17.79B | $7.80B |
| Year 9 | $22.23B | $8.80B |
| Year 10 | $27.79B | $9.92B |
| Terminal Value | $341.15B | $121.78B |
What Are JCI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$156.47
EPS (TTM)
$3.54
Forward P/E
25.6
Profit Margin
14.3%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
3B
EBITDA
4.3B
Book Value
$22.26
Total Debt
9.5B
What Do Analysts Say About JCI?
Low
$129.00
Average
$167.55
High
$193.00
Upside
+7.1%
JCI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of JCI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), JCI's estimated fair value is $155.59. The stock is currently trading at $156.47, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is JCI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is JCI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, JCI is fair value. The current price of $156.47 is 0.6% above our estimated fair value of $155.59.
What do Wall Street analysts say about JCI?
20 analysts cover Johnson Controls with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $167.55, ranging from $129.00 to $193.00. This implies 7.1% upside from the current price.