What Is KDP Fair Value?
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has a composite fair value estimate of $100.37 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $32.66, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 207.3%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$100.37
vs. current price of $32.66(+207.3%)
How Is KDP Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what KDP is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
KDP Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$180.19
+451.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$80.76
+147.3%Undervalued
Inputs used
KDP Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$30.80
-5.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$25.45
-22.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $32.66 is 451.7% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $5.12B | $4.85B |
| Year 2 | $5.69B | $5.11B |
| Year 3 | $6.32B | $5.37B |
| Year 4 | $7.02B | $5.66B |
| Year 5 | $7.80B | $5.95B |
| Year 6 | $8.67B | $6.27B |
| Year 7 | $9.63B | $6.60B |
| Year 8 | $10.70B | $6.95B |
| Year 9 | $11.89B | $7.31B |
| Year 10 | $13.21B | $7.70B |
| Terminal Value | $443.98B | $258.72B |
What Are KDP's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$32.66
EPS (TTM)
$0.99
Forward P/E
12.9
Profit Margin
7.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
4.6B
EBITDA
4.8B
Book Value
$18.40
Total Debt
33.5B
What Do Analysts Say About KDP?
Low
$29.00
Average
$36.21
High
$42.00
Upside
+10.9%
KDP Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of KDP?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), KDP's estimated fair value is $100.37. The stock is currently trading at $32.66, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is KDP's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is KDP overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, KDP is undervalued. The current price of $32.66 is 207.3% below our estimated fair value of $100.37.
What do Wall Street analysts say about KDP?
17 analysts cover Keurig Dr Pepper with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $36.21, ranging from $29.00 to $42.00. This implies 10.9% upside from the current price.