What Is KDP Fair Value?
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has a composite fair value estimate of $46.04 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $30.28, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 52.0%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$46.04
vs. current price of $30.28(+52.0%)
How Is KDP Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what KDP is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
KDP Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$48.88
+61.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$79.18
+161.5%Undervalued
Inputs used
KDP Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$30.92
+2.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$25.22
-16.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $30.28 is 61.4% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.73B | $1.64B |
| Year 2 | $1.92B | $1.72B |
| Year 3 | $2.13B | $1.81B |
| Year 4 | $2.37B | $1.91B |
| Year 5 | $2.63B | $2.00B |
| Year 6 | $2.92B | $2.11B |
| Year 7 | $3.24B | $2.22B |
| Year 8 | $3.60B | $2.33B |
| Year 9 | $4.00B | $2.45B |
| Year 10 | $4.44B | $2.58B |
| Terminal Value | $147.24B | $85.47B |
What Are KDP's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$30.28
EPS (TTM)
$1.35
Forward P/E
12.0
Profit Margin
10.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-16.3B
EBITDA
4.4B
Book Value
$18.57
Total Debt
28.9B
What Do Analysts Say About KDP?
Low
$28.00
Average
$34.71
High
$42.00
Upside
+14.6%
KDP Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of KDP?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), KDP's estimated fair value is $46.04. The stock is currently trading at $30.28, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is KDP's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is KDP overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, KDP is undervalued. The current price of $30.28 is 52.0% below our estimated fair value of $46.04.
What do Wall Street analysts say about KDP?
17 analysts cover Keurig Dr Pepper with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $34.71, ranging from $28.00 to $42.00. This implies 14.6% upside from the current price.