What Is LLY Fair Value?
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 1, 2026, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) has a composite fair value estimate of $1,234.23 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $1,148.84, suggesting the stock is fair value by 7.4%.
Data as of August 1, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$1,234.23
vs. current price of $1,148.84(+7.4%)
How Is LLY Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what LLY is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
LLY Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$1,862.37
+62.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$735.48
-36.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
LLY Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$164.71
-85.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$1,263.48
+10.0%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $1148.84 is 62.1% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $19.35B | $18.06B |
| Year 2 | $24.19B | $21.07B |
| Year 3 | $30.23B | $24.58B |
| Year 4 | $37.79B | $28.67B |
| Year 5 | $47.24B | $33.45B |
| Year 6 | $59.05B | $39.02B |
| Year 7 | $73.81B | $45.53B |
| Year 8 | $92.27B | $53.11B |
| Year 9 | $115.33B | $61.96B |
| Year 10 | $144.17B | $72.28B |
| Terminal Value | $3.18T | $1.59T |
What Are LLY's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$1,148.84
EPS (TTM)
$28.15
Forward P/E
25.5
Profit Margin
35.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
9.2B
EBITDA
36.2B
Book Value
$34.92
Total Debt
43.4B
What Do Analysts Say About LLY?
Low
$850.00
Average
$1,276.96
High
$1,600.00
Upside
+11.2%
LLY Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of LLY?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), LLY's estimated fair value is $1,234.23. The stock is currently trading at $1,148.84, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is LLY's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is LLY overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, LLY is fair value. The current price of $1,148.84 is 7.4% below our estimated fair value of $1,234.23.
What do Wall Street analysts say about LLY?
26 analysts cover Eli Lilly and Company with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $1,276.96, ranging from $850.00 to $1,600.00. This implies 11.2% upside from the current price.