What Is LYB Fair Value?
LyondellBasell (LYB) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, LyondellBasell (LYB) has a composite fair value estimate of $100.66 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $60.01, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 67.7%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$100.66
vs. current price of $60.01(+67.7%)
How Is LYB Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what LYB is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
LYB Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$112.86
+88.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$72.48
+20.8%Undervalued
Inputs used
LYB Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$82.26
+37.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$91.02
+51.7%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $60.01 is 88.1% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.29B | $1.22B |
| Year 2 | $1.35B | $1.22B |
| Year 3 | $1.42B | $1.22B |
| Year 4 | $1.49B | $1.21B |
| Year 5 | $1.57B | $1.21B |
| Year 6 | $1.65B | $1.20B |
| Year 7 | $1.73B | $1.20B |
| Year 8 | $1.81B | $1.19B |
| Year 9 | $1.91B | $1.19B |
| Year 10 | $2.00B | $1.19B |
| Terminal Value | $71.68B | $42.52B |
What Are LYB's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$60.01
EPS (TTM)
-$0.83
Forward P/E
9.7
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.2B
EBITDA
3.6B
Book Value
$33.04
Total Debt
14.3B
What Do Analysts Say About LYB?
Low
$56.00
Average
$67.61
High
$88.00
Upside
+12.7%
LYB Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of LYB?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), LYB's estimated fair value is $100.66. The stock is currently trading at $60.01, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is LYB's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is LYB overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, LYB is undervalued. The current price of $60.01 is 67.7% below our estimated fair value of $100.66.
What do Wall Street analysts say about LYB?
18 analysts cover LyondellBasell with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $67.61, ranging from $56.00 to $88.00. This implies 12.7% upside from the current price.