What Is LYB Fair Value?
LyondellBasell (LYB) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, LyondellBasell (LYB) has a composite fair value estimate of $91.56 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $58.00, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 57.9%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued4 of 4 models$91.56
vs. current price of $58.00(+57.9%)
How Is LYB Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what LYB is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
LYB Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$83.57
+44.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$105.81
+82.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
LYB Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$78.06
+34.6%Undervalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$87.06
+50.1%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $58.00 is 44.1% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.04B | $983.4M |
| Year 2 | $1.09B | $979.7M |
| Year 3 | $1.14B | $976.1M |
| Year 4 | $1.20B | $972.5M |
| Year 5 | $1.26B | $969.0M |
| Year 6 | $1.32B | $965.4M |
| Year 7 | $1.39B | $961.8M |
| Year 8 | $1.46B | $958.3M |
| Year 9 | $1.53B | $954.8M |
| Year 10 | $1.61B | $951.2M |
| Terminal Value | $57.06B | $33.76B |
What Are LYB's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$58.00
EPS (TTM)
-$2.10
Forward P/E
8.7
Profit Margin
-2.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
987M
EBITDA
2.2B
Book Value
$31.11
Total Debt
14.4B
What Do Analysts Say About LYB?
Low
$48.00
Average
$69.24
High
$95.00
Upside
+19.4%
LYB Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of LYB?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), LYB's estimated fair value is $91.56. The stock is currently trading at $58.00, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is LYB's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is LYB overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, LYB is undervalued. The current price of $58.00 is 57.9% below our estimated fair value of $91.56.
What do Wall Street analysts say about LYB?
17 analysts cover LyondellBasell with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $69.24, ranging from $48.00 to $95.00. This implies 19.4% upside from the current price.