What Is MAA Fair Value?
Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) has a composite fair value estimate of $78.27 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $115.62, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 32.3%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$78.27
vs. current price of $115.62(-32.3%)
How Is MAA Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MAA is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MAA Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$100.72
-12.9%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
MAA Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$62.80
-45.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$37.42
-67.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $115.62 is 12.9% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $939.6M | $876.8M |
| Year 2 | $958.4M | $834.6M |
| Year 3 | $977.6M | $794.4M |
| Year 4 | $997.1M | $756.1M |
| Year 5 | $1.02B | $719.7M |
| Year 6 | $1.04B | $685.0M |
| Year 7 | $1.06B | $652.0M |
| Year 8 | $1.08B | $620.6M |
| Year 9 | $1.10B | $590.7M |
| Year 10 | $1.12B | $562.3M |
| Terminal Value | $24.69B | $12.36B |
What Are MAA's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$115.62
EPS (TTM)
$3.42
Forward P/E
N/A
Profit Margin
18.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
921.2M
EBITDA
1.2B
Book Value
$46.84
Total Debt
5.7B
What Do Analysts Say About MAA?
Low
$121.00
Average
$138.60
High
$160.00
Upside
+19.9%
MAA Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MAA?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MAA's estimated fair value is $78.27. The stock is currently trading at $115.62, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MAA's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MAA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MAA is overvalued. The current price of $115.62 is 32.3% above our estimated fair value of $78.27.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MAA?
25 analysts cover Mid-America Apartment Communities with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $138.60, ranging from $121.00 to $160.00. This implies 19.9% upside from the current price.