What Is MAA Fair Value?
Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) has a composite fair value estimate of $77.51 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $131.77, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 41.2%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$77.51
vs. current price of $131.77(-41.2%)
How Is MAA Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MAA is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MAA Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$96.01
-27.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$95.98
-27.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
MAA Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$60.34
-54.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$33.98
-74.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $131.77 is 27.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $927.3M | $864.4M |
| Year 2 | $945.8M | $821.9M |
| Year 3 | $964.7M | $781.5M |
| Year 4 | $984.0M | $743.1M |
| Year 5 | $1.00B | $706.6M |
| Year 6 | $1.02B | $671.8M |
| Year 7 | $1.04B | $638.8M |
| Year 8 | $1.07B | $607.4M |
| Year 9 | $1.09B | $577.5M |
| Year 10 | $1.11B | $549.2M |
| Terminal Value | $23.80B | $11.79B |
What Are MAA's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$131.77
EPS (TTM)
$3.25
Forward P/E
N/A
Profit Margin
17.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
909.1M
EBITDA
1.2B
Book Value
$47.62
Total Debt
5.7B
What Do Analysts Say About MAA?
Low
$121.00
Average
$142.64
High
$162.00
Upside
+8.2%
MAA Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MAA?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MAA's estimated fair value is $77.51. The stock is currently trading at $131.77, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MAA's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MAA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MAA is overvalued. The current price of $131.77 is 41.2% above our estimated fair value of $77.51.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MAA?
25 analysts cover Mid-America Apartment Communities with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $142.64, ranging from $121.00 to $162.00. This implies 8.2% upside from the current price.