What Is MDLZ Fair Value?
Mondelez International (MDLZ) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Mondelez International (MDLZ) has a composite fair value estimate of $55.46 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $58.72, suggesting the stock is fair value by 5.5%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$55.46
vs. current price of $58.72(-5.5%)
How Is MDLZ Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MDLZ is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MDLZ Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$68.11
+16.0%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$70.09
+19.4%Undervalued
Inputs used
MDLZ Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$37.11
-36.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$30.51
-48.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $58.72 is 16.0% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $3.06B | $2.89B |
| Year 2 | $3.29B | $2.93B |
| Year 3 | $3.54B | $2.97B |
| Year 4 | $3.81B | $3.01B |
| Year 5 | $4.10B | $3.05B |
| Year 6 | $4.41B | $3.09B |
| Year 7 | $4.74B | $3.13B |
| Year 8 | $5.10B | $3.17B |
| Year 9 | $5.49B | $3.22B |
| Year 10 | $5.90B | $3.26B |
| Terminal Value | $167.13B | $92.26B |
What Are MDLZ's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$58.72
EPS (TTM)
$2.02
Forward P/E
17.4
Profit Margin
6.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.8B
EBITDA
5.2B
Book Value
$20.06
Total Debt
21.6B
What Do Analysts Say About MDLZ?
Low
$55.00
Average
$67.27
High
$75.00
Upside
+14.6%
MDLZ Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MDLZ?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MDLZ's estimated fair value is $55.46. The stock is currently trading at $58.72, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is MDLZ's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MDLZ overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MDLZ is fair value. The current price of $58.72 is 5.5% above our estimated fair value of $55.46.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MDLZ?
22 analysts cover Mondelez International with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $67.27, ranging from $55.00 to $75.00. This implies 14.6% upside from the current price.