What Is MDLZ Fair Value?
Mondelez International (MDLZ) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Mondelez International (MDLZ) has a composite fair value estimate of $48.11 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $62.36, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 22.8%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$48.11
vs. current price of $62.36(-22.8%)
How Is MDLZ Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MDLZ is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MDLZ Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$49.68
-20.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$70.59
+13.2%Fair Value
Inputs used
MDLZ Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$37.78
-39.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$30.49
-51.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $62.36 is 20.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.42B | $2.28B |
| Year 2 | $2.59B | $2.30B |
| Year 3 | $2.79B | $2.33B |
| Year 4 | $2.99B | $2.36B |
| Year 5 | $3.21B | $2.38B |
| Year 6 | $3.44B | $2.41B |
| Year 7 | $3.70B | $2.44B |
| Year 8 | $3.97B | $2.47B |
| Year 9 | $4.26B | $2.49B |
| Year 10 | $4.57B | $2.52B |
| Terminal Value | $129.33B | $71.38B |
What Are MDLZ's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$62.36
EPS (TTM)
$2.73
Forward P/E
18.5
Profit Margin
8.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2.3B
EBITDA
6.1B
Book Value
$20.80
Total Debt
22.1B
What Do Analysts Say About MDLZ?
Low
$55.00
Average
$69.13
High
$77.00
Upside
+10.9%
MDLZ Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MDLZ?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MDLZ's estimated fair value is $48.11. The stock is currently trading at $62.36, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MDLZ's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MDLZ overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MDLZ is overvalued. The current price of $62.36 is 22.8% above our estimated fair value of $48.11.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MDLZ?
23 analysts cover Mondelez International with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $69.13, ranging from $55.00 to $77.00. This implies 10.9% upside from the current price.