What Is META Fair Value?
Meta Platforms Inc. (META) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, Meta Platforms Inc. (META) has a composite fair value estimate of $296.32 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $614.99, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 51.8%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$296.32
vs. current price of $614.99(-51.8%)
How Is META Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what META is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
META Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$369.14
-40.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$36.29
-94.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
META Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$264.26
-57.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$291.23
-52.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $614.99 is 40.0% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $49.83B | $45.11B |
| Year 2 | $54.76B | $44.87B |
| Year 3 | $60.17B | $44.64B |
| Year 4 | $66.12B | $44.40B |
| Year 5 | $72.66B | $44.17B |
| Year 6 | $79.85B | $43.94B |
| Year 7 | $87.74B | $43.71B |
| Year 8 | $96.42B | $43.48B |
| Year 9 | $105.96B | $43.25B |
| Year 10 | $116.44B | $43.03B |
| Terminal Value | $1.50T | $553.50B |
What Are META's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$614.99
EPS (TTM)
$29.31
Forward P/E
17.3
Profit Margin
31.1%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
16.8B
EBITDA
116.2B
Book Value
$106.57
Total Debt
114.8B
What Do Analysts Say About META?
Low
$629.06
Average
$848.38
High
$1,050.00
Upside
+37.9%
META Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of META?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), META's estimated fair value is $296.32. The stock is currently trading at $614.99, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is META's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is META overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, META is overvalued. The current price of $614.99 is 51.8% above our estimated fair value of $296.32.
What do Wall Street analysts say about META?
58 analysts cover Meta Platforms Inc. with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $848.38, ranging from $629.06 to $1,050.00. This implies 37.9% upside from the current price.