What Is MGM Fair Value?
MGM Resorts (MGM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, MGM Resorts (MGM) has a composite fair value estimate of $60.72 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $46.84, suggesting the stock is undervalued by 29.6%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Undervalued3 of 4 models$60.72
vs. current price of $46.84(+29.6%)
How Is MGM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MGM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MGM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$91.75
+95.9%Undervalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
MGM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$20.14
-57.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$35.18
-24.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $46.84 is 95.9% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $626.4M | $590.7M |
| Year 2 | $742.7M | $660.4M |
| Year 3 | $880.5M | $738.3M |
| Year 4 | $1.04B | $825.4M |
| Year 5 | $1.24B | $922.8M |
| Year 6 | $1.47B | $1.03B |
| Year 7 | $1.74B | $1.15B |
| Year 8 | $2.06B | $1.29B |
| Year 9 | $2.45B | $1.44B |
| Year 10 | $2.90B | $1.61B |
| Terminal Value | $83.74B | $46.54B |
What Are MGM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$46.84
EPS (TTM)
$0.73
Forward P/E
20.8
Profit Margin
1.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
528.4M
EBITDA
2.3B
Book Value
$9.51
Total Debt
31.7B
What Do Analysts Say About MGM?
Low
$35.00
Average
$49.24
High
$59.00
Upside
+5.1%
MGM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MGM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MGM's estimated fair value is $60.72. The stock is currently trading at $46.84, which makes it undervalued by our analysis.
How is MGM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MGM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MGM is undervalued. The current price of $46.84 is 29.6% below our estimated fair value of $60.72.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MGM?
18 analysts cover MGM Resorts with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $49.24, ranging from $35.00 to $59.00. This implies 5.1% upside from the current price.