What Is MLM Fair Value?
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) has a composite fair value estimate of $180.31 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $531.05, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 66.0%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$180.31
vs. current price of $531.05(-66.0%)
How Is MLM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MLM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MLM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$136.41
-74.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$50.66
-90.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
MLM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$282.15
-46.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$184.02
-65.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $531.05 is 74.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $915.9M | $835.5M |
| Year 2 | $983.8M | $818.6M |
| Year 3 | $1.06B | $802.0M |
| Year 4 | $1.14B | $785.8M |
| Year 5 | $1.22B | $769.9M |
| Year 6 | $1.31B | $754.3M |
| Year 7 | $1.41B | $739.1M |
| Year 8 | $1.51B | $724.1M |
| Year 9 | $1.62B | $709.5M |
| Year 10 | $1.74B | $695.1M |
| Terminal Value | $25.06B | $10.00B |
What Are MLM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$531.05
EPS (TTM)
$15.45
Forward P/E
24.7
Profit Margin
36.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
593.4M
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$192.27
Total Debt
6.3B
What Do Analysts Say About MLM?
Low
$440.00
Average
$661.13
High
$800.00
Upside
+24.5%
MLM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MLM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MLM's estimated fair value is $180.31. The stock is currently trading at $531.05, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MLM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MLM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MLM is overvalued. The current price of $531.05 is 66.0% above our estimated fair value of $180.31.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MLM?
24 analysts cover Martin Marietta Materials with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $661.13, ranging from $440.00 to $800.00. This implies 24.5% upside from the current price.