What Is MLM Fair Value?
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) has a composite fair value estimate of $234.01 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $569.32, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 58.9%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$234.01
vs. current price of $569.32(-58.9%)
How Is MLM Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MLM is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MLM Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$243.18
-57.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$67.29
-88.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
MLM Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$286.84
-49.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$208.29
-63.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $569.32 is 57.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $944.1M | $861.3M |
| Year 2 | $1.05B | $870.0M |
| Year 3 | $1.16B | $878.7M |
| Year 4 | $1.28B | $887.6M |
| Year 5 | $1.42B | $896.5M |
| Year 6 | $1.57B | $905.5M |
| Year 7 | $1.74B | $914.6M |
| Year 8 | $1.93B | $923.8M |
| Year 9 | $2.13B | $933.1M |
| Year 10 | $2.36B | $942.4M |
| Terminal Value | $34.01B | $13.58B |
What Are MLM's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$569.32
EPS (TTM)
$15.83
Forward P/E
24.8
Profit Margin
39.9%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
841.8M
EBITDA
2.1B
Book Value
$188.11
Total Debt
5.7B
What Do Analysts Say About MLM?
Low
$440.00
Average
$682.13
High
$800.00
Upside
+19.8%
MLM Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MLM?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MLM's estimated fair value is $234.01. The stock is currently trading at $569.32, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MLM's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MLM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MLM is overvalued. The current price of $569.32 is 58.9% above our estimated fair value of $234.01.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MLM?
23 analysts cover Martin Marietta Materials with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $682.13, ranging from $440.00 to $800.00. This implies 19.8% upside from the current price.