What Is MOS Fair Value?
Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) has a composite fair value estimate of $14.46 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $19.01, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 23.9%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$14.46
vs. current price of $19.01(-23.9%)
How Is MOS Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MOS is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MOS Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$16.68
-12.3%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
MOS Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$17.78
-6.4%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$3.90
-79.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $19.01 is 12.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $425.8M | $398.9M |
| Year 2 | $447.1M | $392.4M |
| Year 3 | $469.4M | $386.0M |
| Year 4 | $492.9M | $379.7M |
| Year 5 | $517.6M | $373.5M |
| Year 6 | $543.4M | $367.4M |
| Year 7 | $570.6M | $361.4M |
| Year 8 | $599.1M | $355.5M |
| Year 9 | $629.1M | $349.7M |
| Year 10 | $660.6M | $344.0M |
| Terminal Value | $15.96B | $8.31B |
What Are MOS's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$19.01
EPS (TTM)
-$2.01
Forward P/E
12.2
Profit Margin
-5.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-746.3M
EBITDA
1.7B
Book Value
$36.06
Total Debt
6.1B
What Do Analysts Say About MOS?
Low
$17.00
Average
$26.49
High
$35.00
Upside
+39.4%
MOS Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MOS?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MOS's estimated fair value is $14.46. The stock is currently trading at $19.01, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MOS's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MOS overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MOS is overvalued. The current price of $19.01 is 23.9% above our estimated fair value of $14.46.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MOS?
18 analysts cover Mosaic Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $26.49, ranging from $17.00 to $35.00. This implies 39.4% upside from the current price.