What Is MOS Fair Value?
Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) has a composite fair value estimate of $17.73 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $23.04, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 23.1%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$17.73
vs. current price of $23.04(-23.1%)
How Is MOS Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MOS is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MOS Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$17.06
-25.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$13.80
-40.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
MOS Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$26.26
+14.0%Fair Value
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$8.26
-64.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $23.04 is 25.9% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $425.8M | $398.7M |
| Year 2 | $447.1M | $392.0M |
| Year 3 | $469.4M | $385.4M |
| Year 4 | $492.9M | $378.9M |
| Year 5 | $517.6M | $372.5M |
| Year 6 | $543.4M | $366.3M |
| Year 7 | $570.6M | $360.1M |
| Year 8 | $599.1M | $354.0M |
| Year 9 | $629.1M | $348.1M |
| Year 10 | $660.6M | $342.2M |
| Terminal Value | $15.76B | $8.16B |
What Are MOS's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$23.04
EPS (TTM)
$0.14
Forward P/E
12.3
Profit Margin
0.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-289.8M
EBITDA
2B
Book Value
$37.14
Total Debt
5.8B
What Do Analysts Say About MOS?
Low
$19.00
Average
$27.19
High
$35.00
Upside
+18.0%
MOS Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MOS?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MOS's estimated fair value is $17.73. The stock is currently trading at $23.04, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MOS's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MOS overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MOS is overvalued. The current price of $23.04 is 23.1% above our estimated fair value of $17.73.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MOS?
19 analysts cover Mosaic Company (The) with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $27.19, ranging from $19.00 to $35.00. This implies 18.0% upside from the current price.