What Is MPWR Fair Value?
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) has a composite fair value estimate of $503.33 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $1,319.55, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 61.9%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$503.33
vs. current price of $1,319.55(-61.9%)
How Is MPWR Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MPWR is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MPWR Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$350.57
-73.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$150.38
-88.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
MPWR Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$221.30
-83.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$1,124.39
-14.8%Fair Value
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $1319.55 is 73.4% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $577.4M | $507.7M |
| Year 2 | $721.8M | $557.9M |
| Year 3 | $902.2M | $613.1M |
| Year 4 | $1.13B | $673.8M |
| Year 5 | $1.41B | $740.5M |
| Year 6 | $1.76B | $813.8M |
| Year 7 | $2.20B | $894.3M |
| Year 8 | $2.75B | $982.8M |
| Year 9 | $3.44B | $1.08B |
| Year 10 | $4.30B | $1.19B |
| Terminal Value | $39.22B | $10.82B |
What Are MPWR's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$1,319.55
EPS (TTM)
$16.44
Forward P/E
37.7
Profit Margin
24.5%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
444.3M
EBITDA
1B
Book Value
$79.27
Total Debt
18.9M
What Do Analysts Say About MPWR?
Low
$1,575.00
Average
$1,839.80
High
$2,100.00
Upside
+39.4%
MPWR Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MPWR?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MPWR's estimated fair value is $503.33. The stock is currently trading at $1,319.55, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MPWR's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MPWR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MPWR is overvalued. The current price of $1,319.55 is 61.9% above our estimated fair value of $503.33.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MPWR?
15 analysts cover Monolithic Power Systems with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy." The average price target is $1,839.80, ranging from $1,575.00 to $2,100.00. This implies 39.4% upside from the current price.