What Is MSI Fair Value?
Motorola Solutions (MSI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Motorola Solutions (MSI) has a composite fair value estimate of $227.01 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $449.01, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 49.4%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$227.01
vs. current price of $449.01(-49.4%)
How Is MSI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MSI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MSI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$309.42
-31.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$162.92
-63.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
MSI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$80.24
-82.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$220.41
-50.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $449.01 is 31.1% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.23B | $2.05B |
| Year 2 | $2.50B | $2.12B |
| Year 3 | $2.81B | $2.19B |
| Year 4 | $3.16B | $2.26B |
| Year 5 | $3.56B | $2.34B |
| Year 6 | $4.00B | $2.42B |
| Year 7 | $4.50B | $2.50B |
| Year 8 | $5.05B | $2.58B |
| Year 9 | $5.68B | $2.67B |
| Year 10 | $6.39B | $2.76B |
| Terminal Value | $104.76B | $45.27B |
What Are MSI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$449.01
EPS (TTM)
$12.70
Forward P/E
23.1
Profit Margin
17.4%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
2B
EBITDA
3.8B
Book Value
$16.15
Total Debt
9.6B
What Do Analysts Say About MSI?
Low
$476.00
Average
$526.91
High
$550.00
Upside
+17.3%
MSI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MSI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MSI's estimated fair value is $227.01. The stock is currently trading at $449.01, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MSI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MSI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MSI is overvalued. The current price of $449.01 is 49.4% above our estimated fair value of $227.01.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MSI?
11 analysts cover Motorola Solutions with a consensus rating of "." The average price target is $526.91, ranging from $476.00 to $550.00. This implies 17.3% upside from the current price.