What Is MSI Fair Value?
Motorola Solutions (MSI) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Motorola Solutions (MSI) has a composite fair value estimate of $170.11 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $407.18, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 58.2%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$170.11
vs. current price of $407.18(-58.2%)
How Is MSI Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what MSI is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
MSI Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$222.59
-45.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$112.79
-72.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
MSI Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$76.45
-81.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$169.70
-58.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $407.18 is 45.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.99B | $1.83B |
| Year 2 | $2.19B | $1.85B |
| Year 3 | $2.40B | $1.87B |
| Year 4 | $2.63B | $1.89B |
| Year 5 | $2.89B | $1.90B |
| Year 6 | $3.17B | $1.92B |
| Year 7 | $3.48B | $1.94B |
| Year 8 | $3.82B | $1.96B |
| Year 9 | $4.19B | $1.98B |
| Year 10 | $4.60B | $2.00B |
| Terminal Value | $76.05B | $33.04B |
What Are MSI's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$407.18
EPS (TTM)
$12.22
Forward P/E
22.0
Profit Margin
17.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.8B
EBITDA
3.5B
Book Value
$15.31
Total Debt
9.6B
What Do Analysts Say About MSI?
Low
$470.00
Average
$506.55
High
$530.00
Upside
+24.4%
MSI Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of MSI?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), MSI's estimated fair value is $170.11. The stock is currently trading at $407.18, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is MSI's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is MSI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, MSI is overvalued. The current price of $407.18 is 58.2% above our estimated fair value of $170.11.
What do Wall Street analysts say about MSI?
11 analysts cover Motorola Solutions with a consensus rating of "." The average price target is $506.55, ranging from $470.00 to $530.00. This implies 24.4% upside from the current price.