What Is NFLX Fair Value?
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 1, 2026, Netflix Inc. (NFLX) has a composite fair value estimate of $50.81 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $71.71, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 29.1%.
Data as of August 1, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$50.81
vs. current price of $71.71(-29.1%)
How Is NFLX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NFLX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NFLX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$68.47
-4.5%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NFLX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$24.16
-66.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$35.81
-50.1%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $71.71 is 4.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $27.01B | $24.04B |
| Year 2 | $28.74B | $22.76B |
| Year 3 | $30.58B | $21.55B |
| Year 4 | $32.54B | $20.40B |
| Year 5 | $34.62B | $19.32B |
| Year 6 | $36.84B | $18.29B |
| Year 7 | $39.19B | $17.32B |
| Year 8 | $41.70B | $16.40B |
| Year 9 | $44.37B | $15.53B |
| Year 10 | $47.21B | $14.70B |
| Terminal Value | $490.10B | $152.63B |
What Are NFLX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$71.71
EPS (TTM)
$3.18
Forward P/E
18.8
Profit Margin
28.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
25.4B
EBITDA
14.7B
Book Value
$7.24
Total Debt
16.7B
What Do Analysts Say About NFLX?
Low
$70.00
Average
$94.33
High
$135.00
Upside
+31.5%
NFLX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NFLX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NFLX's estimated fair value is $50.81. The stock is currently trading at $71.71, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NFLX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NFLX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NFLX is overvalued. The current price of $71.71 is 29.1% above our estimated fair value of $50.81.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NFLX?
45 analysts cover Netflix Inc. with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $94.33, ranging from $70.00 to $135.00. This implies 31.5% upside from the current price.