What Is NFLX Fair Value?
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of September 15, 2026, Netflix Inc. (NFLX) has a composite fair value estimate of $50.58 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $77.90, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 35.1%.
Data as of September 15, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$50.58
vs. current price of $77.90(-35.1%)
How Is NFLX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NFLX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NFLX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$67.98
-12.7%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NFLX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$24.17
-69.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$35.84
-54.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $77.90 is 12.7% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $27.02B | $24.03B |
| Year 2 | $28.76B | $22.74B |
| Year 3 | $30.61B | $21.52B |
| Year 4 | $32.57B | $20.37B |
| Year 5 | $34.67B | $19.28B |
| Year 6 | $36.90B | $18.24B |
| Year 7 | $39.27B | $17.27B |
| Year 8 | $41.80B | $16.34B |
| Year 9 | $44.48B | $15.46B |
| Year 10 | $47.34B | $14.64B |
| Terminal Value | $487.40B | $150.68B |
What Are NFLX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$77.90
EPS (TTM)
$3.18
Forward P/E
20.4
Profit Margin
28.2%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
25.4B
EBITDA
14.7B
Book Value
$7.24
Total Debt
16.7B
What Do Analysts Say About NFLX?
Low
$70.00
Average
$93.88
High
$135.00
Upside
+20.5%
NFLX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NFLX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NFLX's estimated fair value is $50.58. The stock is currently trading at $77.90, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NFLX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NFLX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NFLX is overvalued. The current price of $77.90 is 35.1% above our estimated fair value of $50.58.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NFLX?
45 analysts cover Netflix Inc. with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $93.88, ranging from $70.00 to $135.00. This implies 20.5% upside from the current price.