What Is NFLX Fair Value?
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 31, 2026, Netflix Inc. (NFLX) has a composite fair value estimate of $47.57 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $62.08, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 23.4%.
Data as of October 31, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$47.57
vs. current price of $62.08(-23.4%)
How Is NFLX Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NFLX is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NFLX Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$61.87
-0.3%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NFLX Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$23.98
-61.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$35.84
-42.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $62.08 is 0.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $26.90B | $23.86B |
| Year 2 | $28.41B | $22.34B |
| Year 3 | $30.00B | $20.92B |
| Year 4 | $31.68B | $19.59B |
| Year 5 | $33.45B | $18.34B |
| Year 6 | $35.33B | $17.17B |
| Year 7 | $37.31B | $16.08B |
| Year 8 | $39.39B | $15.06B |
| Year 9 | $41.60B | $14.10B |
| Year 10 | $43.93B | $13.20B |
| Terminal Value | $438.32B | $131.74B |
What Are NFLX's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$62.08
EPS (TTM)
$3.46
Forward P/E
16.5
Profit Margin
29.7%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
25.5B
EBITDA
16B
Book Value
$7.13
Total Debt
17.5B
What Do Analysts Say About NFLX?
Low
$57.00
Average
$84.76
High
$126.00
Upside
+36.5%
NFLX Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NFLX?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NFLX's estimated fair value is $47.57. The stock is currently trading at $62.08, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NFLX's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NFLX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NFLX is overvalued. The current price of $62.08 is 23.4% above our estimated fair value of $47.57.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NFLX?
43 analysts cover Netflix Inc. with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $84.76, ranging from $57.00 to $126.00. This implies 36.5% upside from the current price.