What Is NRG Fair Value?
NRG Energy (NRG) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, NRG Energy (NRG) has a composite fair value estimate of $110.21 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $107.18, suggesting the stock is fair value by 2.8%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Fair Value4 of 4 models$110.21
vs. current price of $107.18(+2.8%)
How Is NRG Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NRG is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NRG Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$112.66
+5.1%Fair Value
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$71.11
-33.6%Overvalued
Inputs used
NRG Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$63.04
-41.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$149.58
+39.6%Undervalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $107.18 is 5.1% below this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $903.2M | $841.4M |
| Year 2 | $1.06B | $916.5M |
| Year 3 | $1.23B | $998.4M |
| Year 4 | $1.44B | $1.09B |
| Year 5 | $1.69B | $1.18B |
| Year 6 | $1.97B | $1.29B |
| Year 7 | $2.31B | $1.41B |
| Year 8 | $2.70B | $1.53B |
| Year 9 | $3.16B | $1.67B |
| Year 10 | $3.69B | $1.82B |
| Terminal Value | $78.08B | $38.42B |
What Are NRG's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$107.18
EPS (TTM)
$3.82
Forward P/E
9.6
Profit Margin
2.6%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
772.4M
EBITDA
3.3B
Book Value
$19.99
Total Debt
23.5B
What Do Analysts Say About NRG?
Low
$104.00
Average
$185.50
High
$270.00
Upside
+73.1%
NRG Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NRG?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NRG's estimated fair value is $110.21. The stock is currently trading at $107.18, which makes it fair value by our analysis.
How is NRG's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NRG overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NRG is fair value. The current price of $107.18 is 2.8% below our estimated fair value of $110.21.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NRG?
16 analysts cover NRG Energy with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $185.50, ranging from $104.00 to $270.00. This implies 73.1% upside from the current price.