What Is NSC Fair Value?
Norfolk Southern (NSC) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of August 29, 2026, Norfolk Southern (NSC) has a composite fair value estimate of $117.49 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $348.68, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 66.3%.
Data as of August 29, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$117.49
vs. current price of $348.68(-66.3%)
How Is NSC Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NSC is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NSC Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$92.65
-73.4%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$70.69
-79.7%Overvalued
Inputs used
NSC Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$145.29
-58.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$129.65
-62.8%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $348.68 is 73.4% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $2.31B | $2.10B |
| Year 2 | $2.47B | $2.04B |
| Year 3 | $2.65B | $1.98B |
| Year 4 | $2.84B | $1.93B |
| Year 5 | $3.04B | $1.88B |
| Year 6 | $3.26B | $1.83B |
| Year 7 | $3.49B | $1.78B |
| Year 8 | $3.74B | $1.73B |
| Year 9 | $4.01B | $1.68B |
| Year 10 | $4.29B | $1.64B |
| Terminal Value | $57.69B | $21.99B |
What Are NSC's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$348.68
EPS (TTM)
$11.75
Forward P/E
24.3
Profit Margin
21.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
1.4B
EBITDA
5.7B
Book Value
$72.36
Total Debt
17.2B
What Do Analysts Say About NSC?
Low
$297.00
Average
$365.28
High
$414.00
Upside
+4.8%
NSC Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NSC?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NSC's estimated fair value is $117.49. The stock is currently trading at $348.68, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NSC's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NSC overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NSC is overvalued. The current price of $348.68 is 66.3% above our estimated fair value of $117.49.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NSC?
18 analysts cover Norfolk Southern with a consensus rating of "Hold." The average price target is $365.28, ranging from $297.00 to $414.00. This implies 4.8% upside from the current price.