What Is NUE Fair Value?
Nucor (NUE) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of July 16, 2026, Nucor (NUE) has a composite fair value estimate of $107.02 based on four valuation models: DCF (35% weight), Graham Number (25% weight), PEG (25% weight), and DDM (15% weight). The current market price is $236.87, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 54.8%.
Data as of July 16, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued4 of 4 models$107.02
vs. current price of $236.87(-54.8%)
How Is NUE Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NUE is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NUE Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
35% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$34.80
-85.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
15% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
$18.26
-92.3%Overvalued
Inputs used
NUE Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
25% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$189.81
-19.9%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
25% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$169.98
-28.2%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $236.87 is 85.3% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.37B | $1.21B |
| Year 2 | $1.44B | $1.11B |
| Year 3 | $1.51B | $1.03B |
| Year 4 | $1.59B | $948.9M |
| Year 5 | $1.67B | $875.7M |
| Year 6 | $1.75B | $808.2M |
| Year 7 | $1.84B | $745.8M |
| Year 8 | $1.93B | $688.3M |
| Year 9 | $2.03B | $635.2M |
| Year 10 | $2.13B | $586.2M |
| Terminal Value | $19.37B | $5.33B |
What Are NUE's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$236.87
EPS (TTM)
$10.19
Forward P/E
13.6
Profit Margin
6.8%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
-384.1M
EBITDA
5B
Book Value
$94.20
Total Debt
7.1B
What Do Analysts Say About NUE?
Low
$224.00
Average
$267.63
High
$285.00
Upside
+13.0%
NUE Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NUE?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NUE's estimated fair value is $107.02. The stock is currently trading at $236.87, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NUE's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NUE is overvalued. The current price of $236.87 is 54.8% above our estimated fair value of $107.02.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NUE?
16 analysts cover Nucor with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $267.63, ranging from $224.00 to $285.00. This implies 13.0% upside from the current price.