What Is NUE Fair Value?
Nucor (NUE) fair value estimate using multiple valuation models, updated daily.
As of October 14, 2026, Nucor (NUE) has a composite fair value estimate of $138.90 based on four valuation models: DCF (41% weight), Graham Number (29% weight), PEG (29% weight), and DDM (0% weight). The current market price is $257.11, suggesting the stock is overvalued by 46.0%.
Data as of October 14, 2026 (today)
Composite Fair Value
Overvalued3 of 4 models$138.90
vs. current price of $257.11(-46.0%)
How Is NUE Fair Value Calculated?
Four independent models estimate what NUE is worth. Each uses different inputs and assumptions. The composite blends them by weight.
NUE Intrinsic Value
Forward-looking models based on future cash flows
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
41% weightEstimates how much cash the company will generate over the next 10 years, then calculates what all that future cash is worth in today's dollars. Includes a 15% safety cushion. Try the standalone DCF calculator →
$42.52
-83.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
DDM (Dividend Discount Model)
0% weightIf a company pays you dividends, this model asks: how much are all those future dividend payments worth today? Only works for stocks that pay dividends. Try the intrinsic value calculator →
N/A
This stock does not pay a dividend, so the DDM cannot be applied. The composite adjusts by redistributing this weight to the other models.
NUE Fair Value
Current fundamentals: earnings, assets, and growth rate
Graham Number (Value Investing)
29% weightCreated by legendary investor Benjamin Graham. It looks at two things: how much the company earns (EPS) and what its assets are worth (Book Value), then calculates the maximum price a careful investor should pay. Try the fair value calculator →
$206.93
-19.5%Overvalued
Inputs used
PEG (Price/Earnings to Growth)
29% weightChecks if you're paying a fair price for the company's growth. A fast-growing company deserves a higher price than a slow one. This model finds the right price based on how fast earnings are growing.
$195.29
-24.0%Overvalued
Inputs used
What If You Change the Assumptions?
Drag the sliders to test different scenarios. Tap the ? buttons to learn what each input means.
Your DCF Fair Value
Current price $257.11 is 83.5% above this estimate
View 10-year cash flow projections
| Year | Projected FCF (Free Cash Flow) | Present Value |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $1.39B | $1.23B |
| Year 2 | $1.48B | $1.15B |
| Year 3 | $1.58B | $1.08B |
| Year 4 | $1.68B | $1.01B |
| Year 5 | $1.79B | $949.2M |
| Year 6 | $1.91B | $890.2M |
| Year 7 | $2.03B | $834.9M |
| Year 8 | $2.16B | $783.1M |
| Year 9 | $2.30B | $734.4M |
| Year 10 | $2.45B | $688.8M |
| Terminal Value | $22.77B | $6.41B |
What Are NUE's Key Financial Metrics?
Earnings & Growth
Current Price
$257.11
EPS (TTM)
$12.54
Forward P/E
12.4
Profit Margin
8.0%
Cash & Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
683.4M
EBITDA
5.7B
Book Value
$97.45
Total Debt
7.1B
What Do Analysts Say About NUE?
Low
$226.00
Average
$284.31
High
$310.00
Upside
+10.6%
NUE Fair Value FAQ
What is the fair value of NUE?
Based on our composite model (DCF 35%, Graham 25%, PEG 25%, DDM 15%), NUE's estimated fair value is $138.90. The stock is currently trading at $257.11, which makes it overvalued by our analysis.
How is NUE's fair value calculated?
We use four valuation methods: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Graham Number, PEG-based Fair Value, and Dividend Discount Model (for dividend-paying stocks). The composite score weights DCF at 35%, Graham and PEG at 25% each, and DDM at 15%. When a model can't be applied, its weight is redistributed proportionally.
Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our analysis, NUE is overvalued. The current price of $257.11 is 46.0% above our estimated fair value of $138.90.
What do Wall Street analysts say about NUE?
16 analysts cover Nucor with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average price target is $284.31, ranging from $226.00 to $310.00. This implies 10.6% upside from the current price.